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Rinnakkaistallenteet Luonnontieteiden ja metsätieteiden tiedekunta

2019

Nearest neighbor imputation of

logwood volumes using bi-temporal

ALS, multispectral ALS and aerial images

Räty, Janne

Informa UK Limited

Tieteelliset aikakauslehtiartikkelit

© Informa UK Limited All rights reserved

http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02827581.2019.1589567

https://erepo.uef.fi/handle/123456789/7865

Downloaded from University of Eastern Finland's eRepository

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Title page 1

2

Title: Nearest Neighbor Imputation of Logwood Volumes using Bi-temporal ALS, Multi- 3

spectral ALS and Aerial Images 4

5

Author list: Janne RÄTY*a, Petteri PACKALENb, Matti MALTAMOc 6

* corresponding author 7

8

Author affiliations: a,b,c Faculty of Science and Forestry, School of Forest Sciences, University 9

of Eastern Finland, Yliopistokatu 7, P.O. Box 111, FIN-80101 Joensuu, Finland.

10 11

ORCID of the corresponding author: 0000-0002-6578-8965 12

The corresponding author on Twitter: @JJRaty 13

14

Email addresses: ajanne.raty@uef.fi, bpetteri.packalen@uef.fi, cmatti.maltamo@uef.fi 15

16 17 18 19 20

21

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Title: Nearest Neighbor Imputation of Logwood Volumes using Bi-temporal ALS, Multi- 22

spectral ALS and Aerial Images 23

24

Abstract 25

We examine the nearest neighbor (NN) imputation of species-specific logwood volumes using 26

airborne laser scanning (ALS) data and aerial images. We compare different remote sensing 27

(RS) data combinations as predictor variables in an area-based prediction of logwood volumes 28

using separate training and validation data. We include multispectral leaf-on ALS data, bi-tem- 29

poral leaf-off ALS data and aerial images in the analyses. Two response configurations were 30

used in the NN imputations: (1) simultaneous imputation in which species-specific logwood 31

volumes are response variables, and (2) separate imputation by tree species in which the attrib- 32

utes of one tree species at a time are response variables. Although an unrealistic alternative in 33

practical implementation, the combination of leaf-on and leaf-off ALS metrics as predictors 34

proved to be the most successful RS data combination, according to the RMSE values associ- 35

ated with the predicted species-specific and dominant logwood volumes. The results show that 36

older leaf-off ALS data performed well in combination with leaf-on ALS data. In general, pre- 37

dictive performance was better with simultaneous imputation than with separate imputation by 38

tree species. Our finding promotes an awareness of how best to utilize various RS data in future 39

forest inventories.

40 41 42 43 44

Keywords: area-based approach, bi-temporal ALS, diameter distribution, logwood volume, 45

multispectral ALS, nearest neighbor imputation 46

47 48 49 50 51 52

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1 Introduction 53

Forest inventories based on airborne laser scanning (ALS) have been successfully implemented 54

in boreal forests (e.g., Maltamo and Packalen 2014; Næsset 2014), temperate forests (e.g., Latifi 55

et al. 2010; Shang et al. 2017), and tropical plantations (e.g., Maltamo et al. 2017). Several 56

countries have adapted ALS-based forest inventories by applying an area-based approach 57

(ABA) as an operational standard (e.g., White et al. 2013; Maltamo and Packalen 2014; Næsset 58

2014). In ABA inventories, the statistical metrics are derived from a 3D point cloud for pre- 59

cisely located field measured plots (training data), and the metrics are used as predictor varia- 60

bles in models fitted with the training data. The resulting models are used to predict the forest 61

attributes of interest in a wall-to-wall manner for the entire inventory area.

62 63

In Finland, the required outcome of forest inventories is to be able to predict forest attributes 64

by tree species (Packalén and Maltamo 2007). Typically, the key species-specific forest attrib- 65

utes are volume, basal area, stem number, mean height and mean diameter, which are tradition- 66

ally used as inputs for forest simulations (Hynynen et al. 2002). Timber assortment volume is 67

usually the main attribute used to evaluate the economic value of a forest, and, usually, is ob- 68

tained by applying estimated forest attributes, theoretical diameter distribution models and taper 69

curves. It is also possible to predict timber assortment volume separately using ALS data 70

(Korhonen et al. 2008).

71 72

The species-specific prediction of forest attributes by ALS remote sensing is possible in boreal 73

forests due to the low number of tree species. Species-specific predictions have been operation- 74

ally implemented in Norway (Næsset 2014) and in Finland (Maltamo and Packalen 2014). In 75

Norway, the approach differs from the Finnish approach and includes visual interpretation 76

based on pre-classification of the main tree species from aerial images (Næsset 2014). The 77

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development of prediction methods for species-specific attributes using ABA has been the fo- 78

cus of several studies, located mainly in Norway or Finland (e.g., Packalén and Maltamo 2007;

79

Breidenbach et al. 2010; Maltamo et al. 2015). According to the previous studies, the spectral 80

values of aerial images are the main data source used to acquire tree species information (e.g., 81

Packalén and Maltamo 2007; Maltamo and Packalen 2014).

82 83

Data sources other than aerial images have also been shown to decrease the error rates associ- 84

ated with species-specific forest attribute predictions. The applicability of leaf-off data in the 85

modeling of total forest attributes, compared to leaf-on ALS data, has been investigated in pre- 86

vious studies. For example, Bouvier et al. (2015) predicted stem volume in a deciduous tree 87

dominated area in France and reported that models based on leaf-off ALS may have a slightly 88

better predictive performance than leaf-on models. However, Anderson and Bolstad (2013) 89

found that leaf-off and leaf-on ALS data were comparable for the prediction of biomass in 90

mixed forests located in the United States. Although leaf-off ALS data have not been reported 91

to be superior to leaf-on ALS data for the prediction of forest attributes, ALS data acquired 92

under leaf-off conditions have been found to discriminate between coniferous and deciduous 93

tree species (Villikka et al. 2012; White et al. 2015). The intensity metrics derived from ALS 94

data have also been found to separate dominant tree species (e.g., Vauhkonen et al. 2014; Räty 95

et al. 2016).

96 97

A multispectral Optech Titan ALS system with the ability to operate at three wavelengths has 98

been employed in many studies, especially for species classification purposes at the tree level 99

(e.g., Budei et al. 2017; Yu et al. 2017; Axelsson 2018). Kukkonen et al. (2019) predicted tree 100

species composition at the plot level in Finland and proposed that multispectral ALS data col- 101

lected by the Optech Titan system could predict tree species composition better than unispectral 102

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ALS data. Dalponte et al. (2018) also implemented predictions at the plot level using the Optech 103

Titan system. They predicted forest attributes without considering tree species at the plot level 104

and reported that the results were better with multispectral than unispectral ALS data. The find- 105

ings of the aforementioned studies indicate that multispectral ALS and leaf-off ALS may offer 106

valuable information for the species-specific logwood predictions that are of interest in this 107

study.

108 109

National ALS data (comprising full coverage of a country) have been collected in many coun- 110

tries (e.g., in Finland by the National Land Survey of Finland; in Spain by the Instituto Ge- 111

ográfico Nacional; in Denmark by Kortforsyningen). National ALS data are often collected for 112

terrain modeling purposes (i.e. under leaf-off conditions), although the suitability for forest in- 113

ventories has also been proven (e.g., Villikka et al. 2012; Räty et al. 2018). National ALS data 114

acquisitions are also repeated over time, for example in Finland using a time interval that is still 115

under decision. In addition to national ALS data acquisitions, forest companies in many coun- 116

tries collect ALS data for their own forest inventories. To sum up, it is evident that multi-tem- 117

poral or bi-temporal ALS data will be available for many areas in the future due to repeated 118

ALS data acquisitions. The use of bi-temporal ALS data has been suggested as suitable for the 119

predictions of forest attributes. For example, Yu et al. (2004) was one of the first studies to use 120

bi-temporal ALS data to determine forest growth at the tree level. Since then, bi-temporal or 121

multi-temporal ALS or image-based point clouds have been used frequently, for example, in 122

the modeling of biomass or volume change (Bollandsås et al. 2018; Poudel et al. 2018), the 123

modeling of growth (Næsset and Gobakken 2005; Tompalski et al. 2018), and the quantification 124

of forest changes caused by forest fires (Bohlin et al. 2017; McCarley et al. 2017), climatic 125

changes (Nyström et al. 2013), snow damage (Vastaranta et al. 2011) or insect attacks (Solberg 126

et al. 2006). In Sweden, a data assimilation technique has also been proposed for the prediction 127

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of forest attributes by means of an ALS data time series (Nyström et al. 2015). However, to the 128

best of our knowledge, bi-temporal ALS acquisitions have not been investigated in the context 129

of the ABA inventories applied in Finland.

130 131

Timber assortment volume is often computed in ABA forest inventories from a diameter distri- 132

bution that describes the size distribution of trees in an area-of-interest. Therefore, the success- 133

ful prediction of species-specific diameter distributions is a prerequisite for timber assortment 134

predictions. Species-specific diameter distributions are most commonly predicted in ALS- 135

based forest inventories by using the following practices: (1) prediction of diameter distribu- 136

tions by means of a nearest neighbor imputation (hereafter NN imputation) (Packalén and 137

Maltamo 2008; Peuhkurinen et al. 2008; Räty et al. 2018), (2) prediction or recovery of the 138

parameters of the diameter distributions that have been fixed to follow, for example, a Weibull 139

probability distribution (Gobakken and Næsset 2004; Thomas et al. 2008), or (3) fusion of the 140

aforementioned approaches with tree-level inventories (Hou et al. 2016).

141 142

The advantage of NN imputation in diameter distribution modeling is that the field-measured 143

trees of the inventory plots can be used directly to compile diameter distributions for areas-of- 144

interest. Moreover, the predicted diameter distribution is always compatible with the predicted 145

sum and mean attributes of the target of the prediction (cf. Packalén and Maltamo 2008; Pack- 146

alén and Maltamo 2007). Naturally, this requires that the forest attributes of interest are re- 147

trieved from the same nearest neighbors that are used in the construction of the diameter distri- 148

bution. In fact, the prediction of species-specific diameter distributions (starting points for fre- 149

quency diameter distributions) for logwood-sized trees actually refers to the prediction of spe- 150

cies-specific logwood volumes.

151 152

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Räty et al. (2018) predicted species-specific diameter distributions by means of NN imputation.

153

They proposed different response variable configurations for NN imputation when the metrics 154

derived from ALS data and aerial images were used as predictor variables; separate NN impu- 155

tation by tree species performed better than simultaneous NN imputation. However, separate 156

validation data were not used, and the analyses were only implemented with leaf-off ALS data.

157

Therefore, studies that consider ALS data, for example, are needed to evaluate the potential of 158

separate NN imputation by tree species.

159 160

The time series of ALS data and, especially, repeated field measurements in an ALS inventory 161

context are still rare in Finland. Thus, we were motivated to determine whether the incorpora- 162

tion of metrics derived from older ALS data, as such, could decrease the errors in the traditional 163

ABA-based prediction of forest attributes. In addition to bi-temporal ALS data, we use both 164

leaf-off and leaf-on ALS data. Although the use of leaf-off and leaf-on data has been examined 165

in previous studies, none have concentrated on the prediction of species-specific logwood vol- 166

umes, which is usually an important attribute in describing the economic value of a forest. Here, 167

we apply NN imputation and 11 different RS data combinations to predict logwood volumes 168

by tree species. Our study objectives for the study are as follows:

169

• to examine the potential of bi-temporal ALS data (leaf-on and leaf-off) for species- 170

specific logwood volume predictions 171

• to assess the power of multispectral ALS for the prediction of species-specific logwood 172

volumes compared to a combination of ALS and aerial images 173

• to compare simultaneous NN imputation and separate NN imputation by tree species 174

for the prediction of logwood volumes.

175

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2 Methods 176

2.1 Study area 177

The study area (Figure 1) is located in Eastern Finland near the municipality of Liperi (62°31´

178

N 29°23´ E). The study area is approximately 43,000 hectares and extends over the regions of 179

North Karelia and Southern Savonia. The forest in the study area represents a typical managed 180

Finnish boreal forest where coniferous tree species are the dominant vegetation. The main tree 181

species that occur in the area are Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris [L.]), Norway spruce (Picea abies 182

[L.] Karst.), silver birch (Betula pendula) and downy birch (Betula pubescens). In many forest 183

stands, several deciduous tree species, e.g. aspen (Populus tremula) and grey alder (Alnus 184

incana), occur occasionally in the lower canopy layers. The age distribution of the measured 185

training plots show that the majority of stands are middle-aged forests (52 %). The proportion 186

of stand development classes of young and mature forests is 27 % and 21 %, respectively.

187 188

2.2 Field data 189

The sample plots used as training data in this study consisted of 424 circular plots with a fixed 190

radius (see Figure 1). The fixed radius was either 9 m (71 % of plots) or 12.62 m (29 % of 191

plots). The 12.62 m radius was selected if the stem number inside a plot was less than 20. Field 192

measurements for the training data were carried out between June and September 2016. For the 193

majority of the sample plots, a systematic cluster sampling design was applied over the inven- 194

tory area. Four sample plots were established in the corners of a square-shaped cluster (300 x 195

300 m), and the distance between adjacent clusters was fixed at 1200 m. However, 27 % of the 196

sample plots were located in the inventory area by the Finnish Forest Centre, who applied their 197

own sampling design (Suomen metsäkeskus 2016). Although the sampling design of the Finn- 198

ish Forest Center differs from systematic cluster sampling, the principle of tree measurements 199

was broadly similar for all 424 sample plots. Seedling or sapling plots and dead trees (2 % of 200

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the trees in training data) were excluded from the training data. The dead trees were usually 201

broken by wind or snow and, therefore, did not significantly affect the dominant canopy of the 202

sample plots. We did not use sample plots that were located at the edges of the stand. The 203

centers of the sample plots were accurately located by means of the global navigation satellite 204

system (GNSS). The coordinates of the plot centers were corrected afterwards using reference 205

stations (post-correction). For every plot, diameter at breast height (DBH), height, and species 206

of trees with DBH ≥ 5 cm were measured. The main sample plot attributes for the training data 207

are presented in Table 1.

208 209

[Fig 1 near]

210 211 212

Field measurements for the validation data were carried out between June and October 2017.

213

Selection of the validation plots was based on a dense systematic network with no overlap with 214

the training plots. The validation plots (105 squared plots) were sampled from the systematic 215

network using a priori information of development classes and dominant tree species. The de- 216

velopment classes were determined by means of ALS data collected in summer 2016. The dom- 217

inant tree species in the plots were fetched from the open-access dataset of the National Forest 218

Inventory (Natural Resources Institute Finland 2013). The proportions of development classes 219

and dominant tree species for the sampling were computed from the training data. Our objective 220

was to ensure that the proportions of forest development classes and dominant tree species in 221

the validation data were in accordance with the training data. Seedling or sapling stands, and 222

dead trees were excluded from the measurements. Only validation plots located entirely within 223

the forest stand were measured. In the field, individual plots were located by means of a tree 224

map visualized through a canopy height model (resolution 0.5 m). The original 900 m2 (30 x 225

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30 m) plots were divided into four 225 m2 (15 x 15 m) subplots using the XY coordinates of 226

the trees. The XY coordinates of trees were determined in the field using a canopy height model 227

and the triangulation approach proposed by Korpela et al. (2017). The area of each subplot is 228

similar to the plot size in the training data, and the area of each subplot is almost similar to the 229

area of grid size used in operational wall-to-wall forest inventories in Finland (Maltamo and 230

Packalen 2014). Thus, the validation data consisted of 420 validation subplots. As with the 231

training plots; DBH, height, and species of trees with DBH ≥ 5 cm were measured. The main 232

plot attributes for the validation data are presented in Table 1.

233 234

[Table 1 near here]

235 236

We assigned deciduous species to a single group, as deciduous species other than birches play 237

only a minor role in Finnish forestry. In addition, it is virtually impossible to detect minor de- 238

ciduous species by means of remote sensing. Therefore, three tree species groups were estab- 239

lished: pine, spruce, and deciduous. We used DBH and height measurements to calculate the 240

basal area and volume of every tree. Stem volumes were computed with models described in 241

Laasasenaho (1982) using DBH and height as predictor variables, whereas logwood volumes 242

were calculated with taper curves presented by Laasasenaho (1982). Volume models or taper 243

curves fitted for birch were used for all deciduous species. The bucking parameters related to 244

the logwood calculations are presented in Table 2. Finally, the following attributes were com- 245

puted to the plot level: volume (V), logwood volume (Vlog), basal area (G), stem number (N), 246

diameter and height of basal area median tree (DGM and HGM). The attributes were calculated 247

for tree species groups, dominant species, minor species, and total growing stock.

248 249

[Table 2 near here]

250

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2.3 Remote sensing data 251

Leaf-on multispectral ALS data (hereafter M-ALS) were acquired in June 2016 at an altitude 252

of 850 m above ground level using a fixed-wing airplane equipped with a Teledyne Optech 253

Titan laser scanner system. The Teledyne Optech Titan device is capable of measuring up to 254

four range and intensity measurements from each pulse using three individual active channels.

255

Each channel has a fixed wavelength that enables multispectral mapping of targets. The wave- 256

lengths of the channels are 1550 nm (first channel), 1064 nm (second channel), and 532 nm 257

(third channel). The data from the second channel were also used individually in the modeling 258

and are equivalent to the unispectral leaf-on ALS data (hereafter M-CH2-ALS). An illustration 259

of M-ALS on coniferous dominated and deciduous dominated forests is presented in Figure 2.

260 261

[Fig 2 near here]

262 263

We used two unispectral leaf-off ALS datasets in this study. The most recent unispectral leaf- 264

off ALS data (hereafter S16-ALS) was acquired between April 30 2016 and May 3 2016 at an 265

altitude of 2400 m above ground level with a Leica ALS60 laser scanner. The Leica ALS60 is 266

capable of capturing up to four echoes, including range and intensity measurements, from an 267

emitted pulse. The older unispectral leaf-off ALS data (hereafter S11-ALS) was acquired be- 268

tween April 25 2011 and April 26 2011 at an altitude of 2200 m above ground level. Since S11- 269

ALS data were gathered about five years before the field measurements, possible forest treat- 270

ments were also taken into account. We accounted for thinned plots in the training and valida- 271

tion data by comparing the S16-ALS and S11-ALS fveg metrics. The fveg describes the canopy 272

density, and it is computed from the proportion of first-of-many and only echoes above 2 m to 273

all echoes. The plot was treated as a thinned plot if the percentage decrease in fveg metrics was 274

> 35 %. The validity of the exclusion threshold was checked with the aid of photographs taken 275

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during the field measurements. In total, 31 training plots and 28 validation plots (15 x 15 m;

276

corresponding to seven 30 x 30 m plots) were excluded from the analysis when S11-ALS was 277

employed. Detailed specifications of all ALS acquisitions are presented in Table 3. The S11- 278

ALS and S16-ALS datasets for coniferous and deciduous dominated forests are shown in Figure 279

3.

280 281

[Figure 3 near here]

282 283

[Table 3 near here]

284 285

The ALS echoes were assigned to four classes according to the return order: first of many, last 286

of many, only, and intermediate. Subsequently, the only echoes were added to both first of many 287

and last of many echo categories. Thus, three echo categories were formed for the computing 288

of metrics: first, last, and intermediate. Firstly, the ALS echoes were classified into vegetation 289

and ground hits following the method proposed by Axelsson (2000). The echoes classified as 290

ground hits were used to interpolate the digital terrain model (DTM) by means of a Delaunay 291

triangulation. The above-ground heights of ALS echoes were calculated by subtracting DTM 292

from the initial ellipsoidal heights of echoes. The intensity values of the M-ALS and S16-ALS 293

data were calibrated for the range following the method of Korpela et al. (2010). The intensity 294

values of the S11-ALS echoes were not calibrated due to the absence of trajectory information.

295 296

Aerial images (AI) were captured with a DMC Z/I Intergraph (01-0128) digital aerial camera 297

on 23 and 24 May 2016 by the National Land Survey of Finland. The camera had a focal length 298

of 30 mm and records four spectral bands that include red, green, blue, and near-infrared. The 299

flight altitude of the image acquisition was 4100 m above ground level. The camera model has 300

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3456 x 1920 pixels in multispectral bands, which resulted in a ground sampling distance (GSD) 301

of about 160 cm. External orientations were determined by a bundle block adjustment using 302

ground and tie points. The aerial images were not ortorectified or pansharpened.

303 304

2.4 Metrics computed from remotely sensed data 305

The metrics computed from the M-ALS, S16-ALS, S11-ALS data, and the spectral values of 306

aerial images were used as predictor variable candidates in the modeling phase (see Table 4).

307

The ALS echo categories first, last, and intermediate were used in the calculation of metrics.

308

The 5, 10, …, 95 % height percentiles were computed and density metrics were computed using 309

fixed height values for 0.5, 2, 5, 10, 15, and 20 m. Furthermore, the proportions of the echo 310

categories were also computed. For the intensity values of the ALS echoes, the statistical met- 311

rics of mean, standard deviation, maximum, minimum, kurtosis, skewness, and percentiles (5, 312

10, …, 95 %) were computed. The height cutoff was set at 1.3 m to avoid the effect of ground 313

hits in the computation of the metrics. The height cutoff was not used in the computation of 314

density metrics. The ratio metrics between the channels of the M-ALS data were computed, as 315

Yu et al. (2017) found ratio metrics to be useful in tree species discrimination. We computed 316

the ratio metrics for 60, 65, …, 95 % height percentiles, and for 55, 60, …, 95 % intensity 317

percentiles.

318 319

The spectral values of the aerial images were fetched for ALS echoes following the method 320

proposed by Packalén et al. (2009). The aerial image metrics were computed using the ALS 321

echoes assigned to the first echo category. The ALS echoes were projected to unrectified aerial 322

images using external and internal orientation. Since the aerial images overlap, the ALS echoes 323

have multiple spectral values. To deal with this, the average pixel value by bands was retrieved 324

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for every ALS echo. Finally, the statistical plot-level metrics (mean, standard deviation, mini- 325

mum, and maximum) were computed from the average pixel values.

326 327

[Table 4 near here]

328 329

2.5 Prediction of logwood volumes 330

We predicted logwood volumes by applying the NN imputation that uses the most similar 331

neighbor distance metric (MSN; see Moeur and Stage 1995). The MSN has been frequently 332

used in other studies (e.g., Packalén and Maltamo 2008; Maltamo et al. 2009; Räty et al. 2018) 333

for the prediction of species-specific forest attributes and diameter distributions. The MSN 334

method applies canonical correlation analysis to solve the distance metrics. The distance metric 335

determines the nearest neighbors most similar to the target of the prediction, according to the 336

predictor variables. In this study, we fitted the NN models to the training data, and the models 337

were used to predict the validation data.

338 339

The squared distance for neighbors was calculated as follows:

340

𝑑𝑖𝑗2 = (𝒙𝑖− 𝒙𝑗)𝚪𝚲2𝚪𝑇(𝒙𝑖− 𝒙𝑗)𝑇 (1) 341

where 𝑑𝑖𝑗2 is the squared distance between target i and neighbor j, xi is a vector of predictor 342

variables from the target plot, xj is a vector of predictor variables from the reference plot, Γ is 343

the matrix of canonical coefficients of the predictors and Λ2 is the diagonal matrix of squared 344

canonical correlations.

345 346

The weightings of the nearest neighbors were determined by taking an inverse of the squared 347

distance:

348

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𝑊𝑖𝑗 =

1 𝑑𝑖𝑗2

1 𝑑𝑖𝑗2 𝑘1

(2)

349

where 𝑊𝑖𝑗 is the weight value between the target plot i and reference plot j, k is the number of 350

nearest neighbors and 𝑑𝑖𝑗2 is as presented in Equation 1.

351 352

Since the distance metrics were calculated by means of the coefficients and correlations re- 353

trieved from the canonical correlation analysis, the effect of the response variables was also 354

taken into account (see Maltamo et al. 2009; Räty et al. 2018). Here, we predict logwood vol- 355

umes by applying the following response configurations in the NN imputation: (1) species- 356

specific logwood volumes with simultaneous NN imputation (hereafter SimLog) and (2) spe- 357

cies-specific sum and mean attributes (V, G, N, DGM and HGM) with separate NN imputation 358

by tree species (hereafter SepSM). The selection of SimLog response configuration is justified 359

by the NN approach that directly predicts multiple response variables. The simultaneous pre- 360

diction of multiple responses has been previously utilized, especially for species-specific forest 361

attributes. The SepSM response configuration was selected as it was successfully used for di- 362

ameter distribution predictions in Räty et al. (2018).

363 364

In practice, tree list (i.e. diameter distribution) is predicted as a byproduct in NN imputation.

365

The tree list can be compiled into a frequency diameter distribution using weightings (Equation 366

2) to determine the tree-wise frequencies of a target plot. Since the imputed tree list is a source 367

for the predicted forest attributes, logwood volume (m3/ha) can be retrieved from the deter- 368

mined neighborhood (k = 5) for a target plot i as presented in Equations 3 and 4.

369

𝑆𝑖 = {𝑆𝑖1, 𝑆𝑖2, 𝑆𝑖3, 𝑆𝑖4, 𝑆𝑖5} (3) 370

371

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where Si is a tree list for a target plot, and Si1 comprises the trees from the first nearest neighbor, 372

and Si2, Si3, Si4, and Si5 comprises the trees from the second, third, fourth, and fifth nearest 373

neighbor, respectively.

374 375

Every tree in Si has a logwood volume and a weighting value Wn that is in correspondence with 376

the weighting Wij (Eq. 2) of the neighbor plot from which the tree has been retrieved. The trees 377

also have factor Fn that is used to scale the logwood volumes to the hectare level. Thus, logwood 378

volume at the hectare level for a target plot t can be calculated from the tree list St, consisting 379

of n trees as follows:

380

𝐿𝑜𝑔𝑤𝑜𝑜𝑑 𝑣𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑡 = ∑𝑛𝑖=1𝑉𝑙𝑜𝑔𝑛 × 𝑊𝑛 × 𝐹𝑛 (4) 381

382

Where Vlogn is logwood volume for tree n, Wn is a weighting value retrieved from NN imputa- 383

tion for tree n, and Fn is a factor applied to scale the logwood volume of tree n to the hectare 384

level.

385

2.6 Selection of predictor variables for nearest neighbor imputation 386

The selection of predictor variables for NN imputation was implemented by following the al- 387

gorithm (VSSA) presented by Packalén et al. (2012). The selection procedure is based on a 388

heuristic optimization algorithm known as Simulated Annealing (Kirkpatrick et al. 1983). The 389

aim of the VSSA algorithm is to minimize the cost function by solving the NN model repeatedly 390

over a fixed number of times. The cost function was formulated using either the weighted or 391

the ordinary arithmetic mean of the relative root mean squared error (RMSE) values associated 392

with the response variables. Here, we used the weighted mean of the RMSE values only if the 393

species-specific logwood volumes were simultaneously used as response variables (SimLog).

394

Otherwise, the mean RMSE value was computed using the ordinary arithmetic mean. The 395

weighting scheme was created according to the observed species-specific logwood proportions.

396

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The weightings were set to 0.43, 0.52 and 0.05 for pine, spruce and deciduous logwood vol- 397

umes, respectively. In VSSA, the optimization process is controlled by the number of iterations 398

and the temperature parameter value. We used 2500 iterations in VSSA for each selection of 399

predictor variables. The initial temperature value was fixed at one. The temperature value was 400

linearly decreased until 80 % of the iterations were done and was then set to zero.

401 402

2.7 Performance assessments 403

We computed the error rates for logwood volume predictions using RMSE. Moreover, the mean 404

difference (BIAS) was computed to determine possible systematic errors in the predictions. We 405

present RMSE and BIAS values in a relative manner, which means that the absolute value was 406

divided by the observed mean value of the corresponding attribute. In several cases, we refer to 407

|BIAS| that implies the non-negative absolute value of BIAS. The RMSE and BIAS values were 408

calculated as follows:

409 410

𝑅𝑀𝑆𝐸 = 100 ×

𝑛 (𝑦̂𝑖−𝑦𝑖)2 𝑖=1

𝑛

𝑦̅ (5)

411

𝐵𝐼𝐴𝑆 = 100 ×

𝑛 (𝑦̂𝑖−𝑦𝑖) 𝑖=1

𝑛

𝑦̅ (6)

412 413

We computed the error rates for the prediction of dominant, minor, species-specific and total 414

logwood volumes. The dominant tree species for a sample plot was determined with respect to 415

volume. The minor species group included species groups that had the second and third highest 416

growing stock in a plot.

417 418

(19)

Error rates fluctuate among multiple NN imputations due to the heuristic selection of predictor 419

variables. For these reasons, the entire prediction process was repeated 50 times and the RMSE 420

and BIAS values were computed as means of all repetitions.

421 422

3 Results 423

3.1 Effect of response configurations 424

The error rates associated with total logwood predictions were almost always higher when 425

SepSM was used as a response set compared to SimLog (cf. Table 5 and Table 6). In general, 426

SepSM produced lower error rates and lower BIAS values for the prediction of dominant log- 427

wood volumes when ALS metrics were used with aerial image metrics. The lowest error rates 428

for dominant, minor, and total logwood predictions were achieved using the response configu- 429

ration of SimLog.

430 431

The error rates and BIAS values for logwood volume predictions by tree species using various 432

RS data combinations with SimLog and SepSM are presented in Figure 4. SepSM was found 433

to perform better in the prediction of deciduous logwood volumes. With a few exceptions, the 434

error rates and BIAS values computed with the different RS data combinations were similar in 435

SimLog and SepLog. An examination of BIAS values between the response configurations 436

provided little information. Principally, the absolute bias (|BIAS|) values for coniferous log- 437

wood volume predictions were moderate. However, higher |BIAS| values were observed with 438

RS data combinations where aerial images were not included, or where there was a combination 439

of leaf-on and leaf-off ALS data.

440 441

(20)

The lowest error rates for logwood volume predictions of pine (53.5 %) and spruce (43.8 %) 442

were achieved with SimLog. Overall, the results showed that SimLog performed better in per- 443

formance assessments of the predictions (Table 5, Table 6, and Figure 4). Hence, we will here- 444

after only focus on SimLog.

445 446

3.2 Effect of bi-temporal ALS metrics 447

The results showed that the combination of M-CH2-ALS + S16-ALS provided the lowest error 448

rates for the prediction of dominant, minor, and total logwood volumes (Table 5). Compared to 449

the RS data combination with the aerial image metrics, the replacement of the aerial image 450

metrics of M-CH2-ALS + AI by leaf-off-metrics (S16-ALS) in SimLog led to an improvement 451

in error rates by 10.3 %, 39.0 % and 15.7 % for the dominant, minor and total logwood volumes, 452

respectively. The best predictive performance in the validation data can be seen in Figure 5 453

where the median iteration with respect to RMSE of the dominant logwood is presented. The 454

M-CH2-ALS + S16-ALS combination predicted dominant logwood volumes broadly similar 455

to the M-CH2-ALS + AI combination (Figure 5). In contrast, the superiority of M-CH2-ALS + 456

S16-ALS was evident in the prediction of minor logwood volumes for deciduous dominated 457

plots. In general, the dominant and total logwood predictions based on the leaf-off ALS data 458

were more biased compared to the predictor sets that used metrics from leaf-on ALS (e.g., S16- 459

ALS + AI versus M-CH2-ALS + AI; see Table 5 or Table 6). The |BIAS| values for dominant 460

and minor logwood volumes were high in all cases.

461 462

The error rates associated with species-specific logwood predictions followed the same trend 463

as the error rates for dominant and minor logwood volumes (Figure 4). The species-specific 464

error rates associated with logwood predictions confirmed the advantage of using leaf-off met- 465

rics for species-specific volume predictions. When SimLog was applied, the replacement of 466

(21)

aerial image metrics with leaf-off metrics had a decreasing effect on the prediction error of all 467

tree species (see Figure 4). For SimLog, the lowest species-specific error rates were always 468

achieved with a RS data combination that included leaf-off ALS metrics.

469 470

The NN imputations where the leaf-off and leaf-on ALS metrics were used as predictor varia- 471

bles predicted the logwood volume of minor species better than cases where leaf-on ALS and 472

aerial image metrics were used as predictors (cf. M-CH2-ALS + S16-ALS and M-CH2-ALS + 473

AI in Table 5, Table 6, and in Figure 5 and Figure 4). The combination of the older leaf-off 474

ALS data and the more recent leaf-on ALS data was effective in the prediction of logwood 475

volumes (Tables 5 and 6, Figure 6). However, slight degradations were observed in the error 476

rates for dominant, total, spruce and deciduous logwood predictions (Table 5 and Figure 4).

477 478

3.3 Effect of multispectral metrics 479

In general, the inclusion of multispectral metrics (M-ALS) slightly improved the predictions of 480

logwood volumes compared to those predicted with unispectral leaf-on ALS data (Table 5, 481

Table 6 and Figure 4). The benefit of multispectral ALS metrics compared to unispectral leaf- 482

on ALS metrics can be seen in the error rates associated with the predicted pine and deciduous 483

logwood volumes (Figure 4). In general, the error rates associated with the prediction of spe- 484

cies-specific logwood volumes were higher when the multispectral metrics were used instead 485

of the metrics derived simultaneously from the aerial images and unispectral ALS data.

486 487

[Table 5 near here]

488 489

[Table 6 near here]

490 491

(22)

492 493

[Fig 4 near here]

494 495

[Fig 5 near here]

496 497 498

[Fig 6 near here]

499 500 501 502 503 504 505

4 Discussion 506

507

4.1 Remote sensing data combinations 508

The main results of our study indicate that ALS data acquired in leaf-off conditions offer valu- 509

able information for species-specific logwood predictions, especially for minor species. The 510

results showed that the inclusion of leaf-off metrics in addition to leaf-on ALS metrics produced 511

surprisingly good predictions compared to the combination of leaf-on ALS and aerial image 512

metrics. We found that when selecting the predictors from the metrics derived from S16-ALS 513

or S11-ALS datasets, height and density metrics were more frequently selected than the inten- 514

sity metrics. Therefore, it is evident that the separation of tree species for species-specific pre- 515

dictions comes from the height distribution of ALS echoes. Under leaf-off conditions, ALS 516

pulses better penetrate deciduous dominated canopies compared to ALS pulses emitted under 517

leaf-on conditions and, therefore, the higher proportion of echoes includes returns from the 518

ground or lower vegetation (Hill and Broughton 2009). Due to these reasons, the inclusion of 519

the metrics derived from leaf-off data mainly affects the predictions associated with deciduous 520

(23)

forests. Surprisingly, our findings show better predictive performance even for coniferous spe- 521

cies when the aerial image metrics were replaced by the leaf-off metrics (see Figure 4 and Table 522

5). The finding indicates that the height distribution of ALS echoes between pine and spruce 523

dominated forests are not similar and is in general agreement with Villikka et al. (2012), who 524

reported that leaf-off ALS data provide lower error rates to leaf-on data when coniferous and 525

deciduous volumes are predicted with ABA. However, they only provided predictions for de- 526

ciduous and coniferous species, and, therefore, the predictive power of leaf-off data between 527

coniferous species cannot be compared. Both Villikka et al. (2012) and White et al. (2015) 528

reported that the replacement of leaf-on data by leaf-off data when a model is fitted with leaf- 529

on data causes a serious bias in predictions. Our results generally show that the inclusion of 530

leaf-off ALS data as predictor variables might increase |BIAS| values for the prediction of total 531

logwood volumes (Tables 5 and 6). Nevertheless, large changes in |BIAS| values were not ob- 532

served here for the prediction of dominant, minor, or species-specific logwood volumes.

533 534

The advantage of utilizing older ALS data in forest inventories has received little attention in 535

the literature. Typically, multi-temporal or bi-temporal ALS data have been examined to assess 536

changes in forested areas (e.g., Næsset and Gobakken 2005; Bohlin et al. 2017). The results of 537

this study suggest that bi-temporal ALS data, consisting of leaf-on and leaf-off ALS data, can 538

be used in species-specific ABA inventories as a replacement for aerial image metrics (Figure 539

5). Our findings indicate that a 5-year time interval between leaf-on and leaf-off ALS data is 540

not a serious issue in order to benefit from leaf-off ALS data in the prediction of species-specific 541

logwood volumes. Instead, silvicultural activity causes problems in the prediction process since 542

the silvicultural operations that take place between two ALS acquisitions can distort the predic- 543

tion. We detected thinnings by comparing canopy cover metrics (fveg) derived from bi-temporal 544

ALS data and using a fixed change threshold (percentage decrease in fveg metrics > 35 %). It 545

(24)

is evident that more investigations are needed how to detect thinnings when using multi-tem- 546

poral ALS data.

547 548

The inclusion of spectral metrics of aerial images or leaf-off ALS metrics lowered the error 549

rates more than the inclusion of multispectral ALS metrics. Previous studies have applied mul- 550

tispectral ALS data to determine tree species at the tree-level (e.g., Budei et al. 2017; Axelsson 551

et al. 2018) and at the area-level (Kukkonen et al. 2019). These studies have reported improve- 552

ments when multispectral features are included in the models. Our findings indicate that the 553

benefits of using the first and third channels of the Optech Titan instrument (1550nm and 554

532nm) rather than the second channel only (1064nm) are minor in regard to logwood volume 555

predictions, and the extent of the benefit depends on the tree species under consideration. There- 556

fore, tree species composition over the inventory area has an effect on the benefits achieved 557

from multispectral ALS metrics. For example, the replacement of unispectral ALS with multi- 558

spectral ALS may improve species-specific error rates more in deciduous dominated inventory 559

area than coniferous dominated inventory area. However, our findings clearly show that the 560

combination of AI and ALS metrics or the combination of leaf-off and leaf-on ALS metrics is 561

preferable to multispectral ALS data when the prediction of species-specific logwood volumes 562

is deemed to be of interest.

563 564

4.2 Response configurations in the nearest neighbor imputations 565

Räty et al. (2018) investigated the response configurations of NN imputation. According to their 566

results, separate imputation by tree species (equivalent to SepSM) resulted in the lowest error 567

rates for spruce and deciduous logwood volumes when the metrics from leaf-off ALS data and 568

aerial images were used as predictor variables. The error rates of species-specific and dominant 569

(25)

logwood volumes presented here are in agreement with the results of Räty et al. (2018). For 570

example, in the present study, RMSE values of 64.2 %, 53.4 %, and 128.1 % for pine, spruce, 571

and deciduous trees, respectively were achieved using leaf-off ALS and aerial image metrics 572

with SepSM. Corresponding values for SimLog were 62.0 %, 54.5 %, and 141.2 % for pine, 573

spruce, and deciduous trees, respectively.

574 575

Räty et al. (2018) evaluated the goodness of the response configurations according to the spe- 576

cies-specific logwood volume, pulpwood volume and total volume attributes. The usage of nu- 577

merous evaluation attributes means that any response configuration used for diameter distribu- 578

tion predictions should also describe all the evaluation attributes. The selection of evaluation 579

attributes is especially problematic when diameter distributions are predicted, since diameter 580

distribution is an entity that should describe the whole size distribution of trees in a forest. In 581

the literature, several different forest attributes are used to assess the goodness of diameter dis- 582

tributions (e.g. timber assortment volumes, error indices of frequency distribution etc.). We 583

separately predicted logwood-sized trees of diameter distribution to avoid the aforementioned 584

challenges. With SimLog, it was logical to select the species-specific logwood volumes as eval- 585

uation attributes for the goodness of diameter distribution, since those attributes were also re- 586

sponse variables in the NN imputation. The results showed that timber assortments could be 587

treated as individual entities in the NN imputation of diameter distribution. Typically, NN im- 588

putations are used to predict whole diameter distribution at a time (mean and sum attributes are 589

responses), and, therefore, timber assortment volumes (pulpwood and logwood) can be pre- 590

dicted simultaneously. However, predicting diameter distribution according to timber assort- 591

ments ensures that the configurations of NN imputation can be better adjusted for every impu- 592

tation. For example, we adjusted the weighting schemes (with SimLog) in the predictor selec- 593

tion process to take into account the tree species proportions in the inventory area.

594

(26)

595

4.3 Performance assessments of logwood predictions 596

Previous studies that consider species-specific predictions of timber assortment have not in- 597

cluded performance analysis at the dominant or minor tree species level, although tree species 598

level has been used (Packalén and Maltamo 2008; Peuhkurinen et al. 2008; Räty et al. 2018).

599

Peuhkurinen et al. (2008) employed a database of individual stems for logwood volume predic- 600

tion, estimated height-diameter distributions, and a specific distance metric in NN imputation.

601

As such, any comparison with our results must be carried out with caution. The error rates 602

associated with the logwood volume predictions presented in this study are higher than those 603

reported by Packalén and Maltamo (2008), and may be due to the study design and tree species 604

proportions in the training data. In our study, we used separate validation data, while Packalén 605

and Maltamo (2008) used the modeling data as validation data with a leave-one-out cross vali- 606

dation, whereby the nearest neighbors from the same stand as the target plot were excluded.

607

Moreover, the number of subunits for aggregation has an averaging (i.e. improving) effect on 608

stand level error rates. In our study, we always used four subunits, while Packalén and Maltamo 609

(2008) used an average of seven subunits per stand.

610 611

The BIAS values associated with the dominant and minor logwood volumes were very high 612

(Table 5 and 6). This may be due to the higher logwood volume stock for every species in the 613

validation data compared to the training data (Table 1). The underestimation of dominant log- 614

wood volumes (Tables 5 and 6) can be seen in the upper left scatter plot of Figure 5, where the 615

plots that were most challenging to predict were those with a dominance of deciduous species.

616

The saturation of deciduous dominated plots as a cluster in the upper left scatter plot of Figure 617

5 suggests that there is a shortage of deciduous dominated neighbors in the training data. The 618

BIAS values were clearly higher for deciduous logwood predictions compared to coniferous 619

(27)

logwood predictions (Figure 4), which indicates that the training data were not sufficiently 620

comprehensive to predict deciduous logwood volumes. In examining the BIAS values, it should 621

be noted that the average logwood volumes were relatively low in the study area (see Table 1).

622

Since low averages increase the relative |BIAS| values, the values cannot be readily compared, 623

for example, to the corresponding values computed for the species-specific volumes in previous 624

studies.

625 626

4.4 Practical applicability of the findings 627

In Finland, the possibility of utilizing two or more ALS datasets from a large-scale inventory 628

area is unlikely, although the potential could be realized in the future. The first complete ALS 629

data coverage of Finland will be completed by 2020. In addition, several forest operators have 630

acquired their own ALS datasets. Therefore, operational applications of the fusion of leaf-off 631

and leaf-on ALS data are possible. At the very least, the finding in this study that metrics de- 632

rived from leaf-off ALS data could substitute for aerial image metrics could be applied in cases 633

where the acquisition of aerial images has failed, for example, due to unexpected weather con- 634

ditions. The determination of a satisfactory time interval between bi-temporal ALS data acqui- 635

sitions for forest inventories requires further study. The acquisition of both leaf-off and leaf-on 636

ALS data for an inventory area over a short time interval is not reasonable from an economical 637

viewpoint. Therefore, single sensor solutions, such as multispectral ALS, may be more attrac- 638

tive for future species-specific forest inventories. Unfortunately, the results of this study did not 639

indicate that multispectral ALS data could offer a single sensor solution for species-specific 640

ALS-based forest inventories. In general, the findings of this study reveal new possibilities to 641

combine multiple RS data sources and encourage repeat national ALS data acquisitions in for- 642

ested countries.

643 644

(28)

5 Conclusions 645

The results indicate that the combination of leaf-on and leaf-off ALS metrics provide lower 646

error rates than the traditional combination of ALS and aerial image metrics for the prediction 647

of species-specific logwood volumes. Our findings also show that recent leaf-off ALS data can 648

be replaced by older leaf-off ALS data without a significant deterioration in logwood prediction 649

error rates. We also explored metrics derived from multispectral ALS data. The results indicate 650

that the multispectral metrics lead to a slight improvement in the error rates associated with 651

logwood volume predictions. Overall, the outcome of this study encourages a deeper investiga- 652

tion of the possibilities of combining different multi-temporal ALS datasets in area-based forest 653

inventories. In the future, multi-temporal ALS datasets will be increasingly available from in- 654

ventory areas. As such, methods and applications that incorporate all available ALS data from 655

an inventory site are welcome.

656 657

Funding details 658

This study is a contribution to the project Comparative test to predict species-specific diameter 659

distributions in forest information systems financed by the Finnish Forest Centre. This study 660

was also supported by the project Sustainable, climate-neutral, and resource-efficient forest- 661

based bioeconomy (FORBIO, decision number 314224), funded by the Strategic Research 662

Council at the Academy of Finland. The Finnish Society of Forest Sciences supported this work 663

with a scholarship granted to the corresponding author.

664 665 666

Disclosure statement 667

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

668 669

(29)

670

Availability of data and material 671

The raw leaf-off ALS datasets supporting the conclusions of this article are available in the 672

repository of National Land Survey Finland, https://tiedostopalvelu.maanmittauslai- 673

tos.fi/tp/kartta. The multispectral ALS data, and the field data will not be shared due to the 674

ownership of the data.

675 676

Data deposition 677

No data deposition.

678

Acknowledgements 679

We acknowledge the support provided by the Strategic Research Council of the Academy of 680

Finland for the FORBIO project (decision number 314224), led by Prof. Heli Peltola at the 681

School of Forest Sciences, UEF. We would like to express our gratitude to Prof. Heli Peltola 682

and Prof. Jyrki Kangas for the acquisition of the financial support for the fieldwork needed to 683

conduct this study. We also would like to thank the Finnish Society of Forest Science for the 684

scholarship awarded to the corresponding author.

685 686

Captions for figures 687

Figure 1. Location of the study area and sample plots in Finland.

688

(30)

689 690

Figure 2. This figure demonstrates the multispectral ALS data (M-ALS). The leftmost figure 691

describes the data around a validation plot in a coniferous dominated forest, and the rightmost 692

in a deciduous dominated forest. In the color ramp, black describes the lowest heights and yel- 693

low describes the highest heights.

694

695 696

(31)

Figure 3. This figure demonstrates leaf-off ALS datasets used in this study (the uppermost 697

figures: S16-ALS; the bottom figures: S11-ALS). The leftmost figures describe the data around 698

a validation plot in a coniferous dominated forest, and the rightmost in a deciduous dominated 699

forest. In the color ramp, black describes the lowest heights, and yellow describes the highest 700

heights.

701

702 703

Figure 4. Species-specific root mean squared error (RMSE; %) and mean difference (BIAS;

704

%) error values for logwood volume predictions in terms of remote sensing data and response 705

configurations. For the abbreviations of remote sensing data combinations, please refer to sec- 706

tion 2.3.

707

(32)

708

709 710

Figure 5. Predicted vs. observed dominant and minor tree species logwood volumes presented 711

in 30 x 30 m validation data. Remote sensing data combinations of M-CH2-ALS + S16-ALS 712

(leftmost) and M-CH2-ALS + AI (rightmost) were used. The SimLog response configuration 713

was employed in all combinations. The median iteration (25th of 50) with respect to the root 714

mean squared error (RMSE) value associated with the dominant logwood volume is presented.

715

For the abbreviations of remote sensing data, please refer to section 2.3.

716 717

(33)

718

Figure 6. Predicted vs. observed dominant and minor tree species logwood volumes presented 719

with 30 x 30 validation data. Remote sensing data combination of M-CH2-ALS + S11-ALS 720

was used. The SimLog response configuration was employed in all combinations. The median 721

iteration (25th of 50) with respect to the root mean squared error (RMSE) value associated with 722

dominant logwood volume is presented. For the abbreviations of remote sensing data, please 723

refer to section 2.3.

724 725

(34)

726

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Viittaukset

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