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Rinnakkaistallenteet Luonnontieteiden ja metsätieteiden tiedekunta

2020

Forest inventories for small areas using drone imagery without in-situ field measurements

Kotivuori, Eetu

Elsevier BV

Tieteelliset aikakauslehtiartikkelit

© 2019 Elsevier Inc.

CC BY-NC-ND https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2019.111404

https://erepo.uef.fi/handle/123456789/24154

Downloaded from University of Eastern Finland's eRepository

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1

Forest inventories for small areas using drone imagery without in-situ field measurements

Eetu Kotivuori1*, Mikko Kukkonen2, Lauri Mehtätalo3, Matti Maltamo4, Lauri Korhonen5, Petteri Packalen6

1University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland. Email: eetu.kotivuori@uef.fi.

2University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland. Email: mikko.kukkonen@uef.fi.

3University of Eastern Finland, School of Computing, P.O. Box 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland. Email: lauri.mehtatalo@uef.fi.

4University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland. Email: matti.maltamo@uef.fi.

5University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland. Email: lauri.korhonen@uef.fi.

6University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland. Email: petteri.packalen@uef.fi.

*Corresponding author.

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2 Abstract

1 2

Drone applications are becoming increasingly common in the arena of forest management 3

and forest inventories. In particular, the use of photogrammetrically derived drone-based 4

image point clouds (DIPC) in individual tree detection has become popular. Use of an area- 5

based approach (ABA) in small areas has also been considered. However, in-situ field 6

measurements of sample plots substantially increase the cost of small area forest 7

inventories. Therefore, we examined whether small-scale forest management inventories 8

could be carried out without local field measurements. We used nationwide and regional 9

ABA models for stem volumes fitted with airborne laser scanning (ALS) data to predict stem 10

volumes using corresponding metrics calculated from DIPC data. The stem volumes were 11

predicted at the cell level (15 × 15 m) and aggregated to test plots (30 × 30 m). Height 12

metrics for the dominant tree layer from the DIPC data showed strong correlations with 13

similar metrics computed from the ALS data. The ALS-based models applied with DIPC 14

metrics performed well, especially if the ABA model was fitted in the same geographical area 15

(regional model) and the inventory units were disaggregated to coniferous and deciduous 16

dominated stands using auxiliary information from M 17

data (root mean square error at 30 × 30 m level was 13.1 %). The corresponding root mean 18

square error associated with the nationwide ABA model was 20.0 % with an overestimation 19

(mean difference 9.6 %).

20 21 22

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3

Keywords: forest inventory; remote sensing; drone; unmanned aerial system; unmanned 23

aerial vehicle; remotely piloted aerial system; image point cloud; airborne laser scanning;

24

area-based approach.

25 26 27

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4 1. Introduction

28 29

In recent years, the use of drones (also known as unmanned aerial systems (UAS), 30

unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) or remotely piloted aerial systems (RPAS)) in remote sensing 31

has become popular (Colomina & Molina 2014). In particular, the use of drones as a tool for 32

forest inventories, mapping and monitoring has been highlighted (Tang & Shao 2015;

33

Torresan et al. 2017). The potential of drones to acquire auxiliary information for sampling 34

inventories has also been considered (Puliti et al. 2017). From an inventory point of view, 35

drones are used in the prediction of forest attributes (i.e. height, volume and biomass) based 36

on three-dimensional information extracted from aerial images (Lisein et al. 2013; Puliti et 37

al. 2015; Kachamba et al. 2016; Ota et al. 2017) or from drone-LiDAR (light detection and 38

ranging) data (Lin et al. 2011; Wallace et al. 2012; Vepakomma & Cormier 2017). Currently, 39

drone-based individual tree level inventories are studied extensively (e.g. Birdal et al. 2017;

40

Guerra-Hernández et al. 2017; Mohan et al. 2017; Panagiotidis et al. 2017; Alonzo et al.

41

2018; Goldbergs et al. 2018; Surový et al. 2018). In this paper, we use the 42

refer to all portable aerial systems without an onboard pilot.

43 44

Height information from digital aerial images can be extracted by photogrammetric 45

processing of overlapping images (Ullman 1979; Lisein et al. 2013). These so-called drone 46

image point clouds (DIPC) can be used in the same manner as airborne laser scanning (ALS) 47

data using the area-based approach (ABA) (Vauhkonen et al. 2014). In Norwegian forests, 48

Puliti et al. (2015) used height, density, and spectral metrics from DIPC for ABA prediction 49

(e.g. dominant height, basal area and stem volume), while height above ground for DIPC was 50

calculated relative to the position of the ground detected by ALS data from the same area. A 51

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5

similar study was conducted by Ota et al. (2017) in Japan. For the prediction of stem 52

volumes, Puliti et al. (2015) and Ota et al. (2017) reported RMSE (root mean square error) 53

values of 14.9 % and 20.0 %, respectively.

54 55

An interesting application for DIPC is the updating of ALS-based inventories in small areas (<

56

100 ha) (Goodbody et al. 2016). For example, the repetition interval between ALS 57

inventories may be > 10 years, during which time the forest inventory data will certainly 58

become outdated. However, due to the small areal coverage of drone data, even the 59

measurement of a small number of sample plots from a drone inventory area can lead to 60

substantial costs per unit area. Also, the measurement of ground control points (GCP), often 61

required for georeferencing, further increases the costs. The optimal situation would be that 62

new field measurements (i.e. field sample plots, ground control points etc.) for a small area 63

inventory would not be needed at all.

64 65

DIPC-based inventories without new field measurements have not been considered in 66

studies published thus far. One option is to apply an ABA model previously fitted with ALS 67

data and field plots. For example, regional or nationwide ABA models from previous 68

inventories could be utilised (Kotivuori et al. 2016; Kotivuori et al. 2018). This scenario is 69

possible, if ABA metrics computed from DIPC data are comparable with the respective ALS 70

metrics. However, there are no published studies on this topic. As DIPC do not contain 71

observations from forest layers that are not visible in images (Lisein et al. 2013), we would 72

expect that the ALS metrics derived from the dominant tree layer ( 73

echo categories) would show the largest correlation with DIPC metrics. The selection of an 74

ALS inventory area from which the model is transferred may also influence the result, 75

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6

because the properties of vegetation may differ between the areas, and ALS data from 76

different scanners may display systematic differences in the estimated canopy height 77

metrics (Næsset 2009, Kotivuori et al. 2016).

78 79

The main objective of this study was to assess the performance of drone imagery forest 80

inventories without new in-situ field measurements. The study has two particular aims: 1) 81

determine which of the ABA metrics computed from the DIPC and ALS data are so analogous 82

that they can be used interchangeably with both data sources; 2) to construct ALS-based 83

nationwide and regional ABA models for stem volumes using these metrics, and evaluate the 84

associated error rates when using DIPC metrics instead of ALS metrics in a separate test 85

area. Our nationwide dataset consisted of 22 inventory areas from different parts of Finland.

86

The regional dataset was one of the inventory areas from the nationwide data, which was 87

located close to the test area and had similar forest characteristics than in the test area. The 88

DIPC results were compared with the results of the ALS-based ABA models fitted locally in 89

the test area.

90 91

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7 2. Material and methods

92 93

2.1 Nationwide and regional field data 94

95

We used the same nationwide field datasets as Kotivuori et al. (2018) (Figure 1). Our sample 96

plots covered 22 ALS-based large-scale forest management inventory projects from various 97

parts of Finland. Field measurements were conducted between 2011 2015. The plots were 98

located using systematic or random stratified cluster sampling, or systematic sampling with 99

The plot radii were 5.64, 9.00, 12.62 or 12.65 m depending on tree size and 100

inventory area (Kotivuori et al. 2016, Kotivuori et al. 2018). Sample plots located in seedling 101

stands, and sample plots where the stem volume was < 3 m3 ha were omitted. The number 102

of sample plots varied among the inventory areas. Therefore, 301 sample plots were 103

selected from each area, with the exception of two inventory areas where only 233 104

(Savukoski) and 149 (Ilomantsi) plots were available (total of 6402 plots). The 301 sample 105

plots were chosen from larger, inventory area level samples so that the plot volume 106

distribution of an inventory area remained the same (see Kotivuori et al. 2018). Further 107

information regarding the nationwide field data is presented in Kotivuori et al. (2018). The 108

regional models were constructed using the plots from the Sulkava area, which is located 109

about 80 km south-west of the Liperi area where the test plots were located (Figure 1).

110

Sulkava is located close to the Liperi test area and has similar growth conditions and species 111

distributions.

112 113

The field measurement protocol differed slightly among the inventory areas. For example, 114

the minimum DBH (diameter at breast height) varied between areas, so we removed all the 115

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8

trees from the dataset where DBH was < 5 cm. In the inventory areas of Tornio, Kolari and 116

Ranua, tree heights were measured for all trees. In the other areas, only the heights of the 117

sample trees were measured. Sample trees were selected from diameter classes that were 118

based on the measured species-specific diameter distribution of the plot. The heights for the 119

remainder of the trees were predicted with height models calibrated by plot (Eerikäinen 120

2009). Tree stem volumes (dm3) were predicted as a function of DBH and height using the 121

species-specific models described in Laasasenaho (1982), and aggregated to the plot level 122

(m3 ha ).

123 124

2.2. Field data for test plots 125

126

A total of 19 test plots were measured in Liperi in summer 2017 (Figure 1). The plot size was 127

30 × 30 m and the plots were all located within the respective forest stands. Test plot 128

locations were selected subjectively so that there would be a large variability in tree species 129

and age classes among the plots. Diameter and height were measured from all trees with a 130

DBH 5 cm. In addition, the location of every tree was determined utilising the method 131

presented in Korpela et al. (2007). The plots were divided into four (15 × 15 m) grid cells, 132

which comprised the basic inventory units (n = 76). The stem volumes of measured trees 133

were predicted as a function of diameter and tree height using the species-specific models 134

developed by Laasasenaho (1982) and then aggregated to 15 × 15 m cells (m3 ha ). Volumes 135

for the 30 × 30 m test plots were estimated as means of the 15 × 15 m cells. Stand attributes 136

for the 30 × 30 m test plots are provided in Appendix (Table A1).

137 138 139

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9

140 Base maps: a) Municipality map of Finland / © National Land Survey of Finland 2011, Forest vegetation zones / © Finnish Environmental

141

Institute (SYKE) 2015, Europe coastline / © European Environment Agency 2015, b) General map 1:1 M / © National Land Survey of Finland

142 2018.

143 Figure 1. Liperi test plots (red points) at different geographical scales. a) Nationwide (purple 144

and green points) and regional (green points) sample plots within the forest vegetation 145

zones, b) spatial distribution of test plots in the Liperi test area, and c) grid cells (15 × 15 m) 146

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inside the test plot (30 × 30 m) with a canopy height model constructed from a drone image 147

point cloud.

148 149

2.3 Airborne laser scanning data for nationwide and regional models 150

151

We used the same nationwide ALS datasets as Kotivuori et al. (2018). Datasets were 152

acquired for the same years as the corresponding field datasets (2011 2015), with the 153

exception of Ilomantsi where field data were collected 1-2 years later than the ALS data.

154

However, the time difference was taken into account when computing the field data using 155

the NFI-based growth modelling service of Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland).

156

Datasets were acquired in leaf-on conditions. Pulse densities of the datasets were between 157

0.5 1.2 points m-2 and the half scan angles were either 15 or 20 degrees. Both 158

pulse 159

repetition frequencies (PRF) were 114.6 136.5 or 50.0 71.8 kHz, depending on the scanning 160

mode. Flying altitudes were 1675 2200 m. A total of 12 different sensor units by Optech and 161

Leica were used. Further information on scanner parameters of the individual inventory 162

areas are presented in Kotivuori et al. (2018).

163 164

2.4 Airborne laser scanning data for test plots 165

166

The ALS data for the test plots were acquired from Liperi during the summer 2016 (2 10 167

July) in leaf-on conditions. Data were collected with an Optech Titan multispectral LiDAR 168

system, which generates point clouds at the 1550 (channel 1), 1064 (channel 2) and 532 nm 169

(channel 3) wavelengths. In this study, we used channel 2 for ABA. Average pulse density of 170

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the test plots was 12.4 points m-2. The half scan angle was 20 degrees and flying altitude was 171

850 m above ground level PRF of 250.0 kHz

172

was used.

173 174

2.5 Drone data for test plots 175

176

Drone images were collected from Liperi during 20 June 23 August 2017. Images were 177

collected in either sunny or cloudy weather conditions. Wind conditions varied slightly, but 178

imaging conducted in strong wind conditions was avoided. The images were captured with a 179

DJI Inspire 1 (v. 2.0) rotary-wing drone with Zenmuse x3 digital camera and Sony's image 180

sensor (IMX078CQK). Images were captured plot by plot using three flight lines with a 181

sidelap of 60 % and a forward overlap of 90 %. The centre of the test plot (30 × 30 m) was 182

always located in the middle of the centre flight line. Flying altitude of the drone was 75 m 183

and the nominal GSD (ground sampling distance) was 3.2 cm. Image point clouds were 184

generated with Agisoft Photoscan software (AgiSoft PhotoScan Professional 2017).

185 186

Point clouds were adjusted horizontally and vertically to ensure a better match with the ALS 187

data, and consequently the field data. Horizontal adjustment was required, because 188

georegistration of the DIPC data is inadequate without the use of GCP. In this study, a good 189

match between the DIPC data and field data is needed as the test plots are used for 190

validation. Horizontal adjustment was conducted by shifting each individual image point 191

cloud (i.e. plot) horizontally to ensure a maximum correlation between the DIPC based 192

canopy height model (CHM) and the ALS based CHM.

193 194

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12

Vertical adjustment was needed as the ALS DTM (digital terrain model) was used to scale 195

DIPC heights to above ground level, and the z-coordinates of the DIPC do not correspond 196

with the height system in the ALS data (we used Finnish Height System N2000, following the 197

principles of the EVRS 2000). This is quite a common situation with DIPC data when GCPs are 198

not used. Here, the DIPC altitude was corrected by computing the difference between the 199

ground observations of the DIPC and ALS data and then adding the difference to the DIPC 200

data. The ground level of DIPC data were interpolated from points located in open areas.

201

Open areas were determined as locations where the standard deviation of DIPC height was <

202

1 m within a cell size of 2 × 2 m. Because the algorithm assumes that the data are aligned in 203

a horizontal direction, the horizontal adjustment was performed first. The vertical 204

adjustment was done with open ALS data from the National Land Survey of Finland 205

(Airborne LiDAR data / © National Land Survey of Finland 2016).

206 207

After the adjustments, DIPC heights were scaled to above ground level (dZ) using an ALS- 208

based DTM from the National Land Survey of Finland (Airborne LiDAR data / © National Land 209

Survey of Finland 2016). Average point density of the DIPC data was 1148 points m-2. 210

211 212

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13 213

Figure 2. (a) Airborne laser scanning (ALS) and (b) drone image point cloud (DIPC) data from 214

the same test plot (30 × 30 m) in the Liperi area. In this figure, point densities are scaled to 215

be similar.

216 217 218

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14 2.6 Airborne laser scanning and DIPC metrics 219

220

Image point clouds can only provide reliable height measurements of the upper layer of the 221

canopy, because the lower layers are not visible in the images (Figure 2) (Lisein et al. 2013).

222

Therefore, ALS-metrics were calculated only from the first echoes (= original echo categories 223

and Corresponding metrics for DIPC were calculated using all point 224

observations. Calculated metrics were: maximum (hmax), median (hmed), mean (havg), 225

sample standard deviation (hsd), density percentages (veg0.5/2/5/10/15/20), and height 226

quantiles ( ). The density percentages (%) were calculated by dividing 227

the number of points over a certain height threshold (m) by the total number of points.

228

Percentages were calculated using the quantile function type 7 (Hyndman and Fan 1996) 229

available in the R software (R Core Team 2017). Height thresholds for metrics were not used.

230 231

2.7 Regression models 232

233

We constructed nationwide, regional and local ABA models to predict total stem volume (m3 234

ha ) using the ALS metrics described in section 2.6. The nationwide models were fitted using 235

sample plots from all 22 inventory areas, the regional models using sample plots from the 236

Sulkava inventory area, and the local models using 15 × 15 m cells from the Liperi test area.

237

First, we pre-selected the predictor variables for ABA by comparing the relationships 238

between the ALS and DIPC metrics in the 15 × 15 m cells from Liperi. The metric was 239

included as a candidate predictor variable in the ABA model (Table 1), if:

240

1) the r-squared (r2, where r = Pearson correlation coefficient) value between the ALS and 241

DIPC metric was > 0.9, and 242

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15

2) estimates and of the relationship function DIPCmetric ALSmetric, as 243

estimated by OLS (ordinary least squares), were -1.0 1.0 and 0.9 1.1, respectively.

244

To evaluate whether the difference from the 0 1 line could result from random noise, we 245

also conducted an F-test for each DIPC-ALS relationship function for the following null 246

hypothesis: H0: = 0 and = 1.

247 248

Predictor variables were selected with a linear model form using the stem volume or its 249

square root transformation as the response variable. The OLS method was used to estimate 250

the parameters of a linear model. If square root transformation for stem volume was used, a 251

bias correction for the response variable was employed (Lappi 1993). A linear model was 252

used only in the selection of predictor variables; later models were fitted in a nonlinear 253

fashion whereupon bias correction for the response variable is irrelevant.

254 255

A comprehensive investigation was undertaken to select the predictor variables. The 256

variable combination that produced the smallest RMSE value between the observed and 257

predicted values was selected for the model. We also tested the square root, logarithm, 258

polynomial and inverse transformations for the predictor candidates. Kotivuori et al. (2018) 259

noted that the number of degree days (d.d.) (i.e. the effective temperature sum, °C) could be 260

used to describe the changes in forest structures as a function of growing conditions.

261

Therefore, the nationwide model contained three predictor variables (incl. d.d.). Details of 262

the d.d. data used here can be found in Kotivuori et al. (2018) and Ojansuu and Henttonen 263

(1983). Regional and local models contained only two predictor variables (d.d. was not 264

included).

265 266

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Kotivuori et al. (2018) also noted that the proportion of birch trees (Betula spp.) in a stand is 267

an important variable in nationwide models. For this reason, we constructed alternative 268

nationwide, regional and local models by disaggregating the sample plots (or test plot cells) 269

as coniferous or deciduous dominated, and utilised this information as a dummy variable. In 270

model construction, field data were used to disaggregate plots as coniferous or deciduous 271

dominated.

272 273

The final model was fitted in a nonlinear form 274

275

, 276

277

where is the response variable, the vector of predictors and the residual error for 278

plot i, and includes the parameters of the mean function. The residual variance increased 279

with respect to the prediction, and therefore a power-type variance was 280

eters and h95 is the 95 % height 281

quantile. We used Maximum Likelihood for and nonlinear generalised least squares 282

(NGLS) for and in function gnls of package nlme in the R environment 283

(Pinheiro and Bates 2000; R Core Team 2017; Pinheiro et al. 2018; Mehtätalo & Lappi 2019).

284 285

2.8 Prediction for test plots 286

287

The models and methods described above were used to predict stem volume (m3 ha ) for 288

the 15 × 15 m cells in the Liperi test plots. We used six distinct scenarios:

289 290

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NatDIPC: Nationwide stem volume (m3 ha ) model applied to cells using metrics calculated 291

from DIPC.

292

RegDIPC: Regional stem volume (m3 ha ) model applied to cells using metrics calculated 293

from DIPC.

294

LocALS: Local stem volume (m3 ha ) applied to 15 × 15 m cells where a model was also 295

fitted with ALS data using local field measurements.

296

NatDIPCD: Nationwide stem volume (m3 ha ) model applied to cells using metrics calculated 297

from DIPC and disaggregation of test plots to coniferous or deciduous dominated. Test plots 298

(30 × 30 m) were disaggregated to coniferous or deciduous dominated using the means of 299

species-specific (pine, spruce and birch) stem volumes taken from 300

Forest Inventory of Finland 2015 maps, which are based on satellite images, NFI 301

field plots, and other geographic information (© Natural Resources Institute Finland 2017).

302

The generation of the described in Tomppo and Halme (2004).

303

RegDIPCD: Regional stem volume (m3 ha ) model applied to cells using metrics calculated 304

from DIPC and disaggregation of test plots to coniferous or deciduous dominated (other 305

steps as above, NatDIPCD).

306

LocALSD: Local stem volume (m3 ha ) applied to 15 × 15 m cells where a model was also 307

fitted. Cells (15 × 15 m) were disaggregated to coniferous or deciduous dominated using 308

observed species- 309

disaggregation to coniferous or deciduous plots and local field measurements.

310 311

Predictions for the 30 × 30 m test plots (m3 ha ) were estimated as means of the 15 × 15 m 312

cells (m3 ha ). Prediction error was assessed at the 30 × 30 m level. Differences between the 313

scenarios were compared using relative (%) RMSE (Equation 1) and MD (Equation 2) values:

314

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18 315

where 316

i is the predicted value of attribute y in test plot i, 317

yi is the field-based estimate (observed) of attribute y in test plot i, 318

is the mean of field-based estimates of attribute y in test plot i, and 319

n is the number of sample plots.

320 321

Finally, the 95 % prediction intervals of stand volume were constructed, taking into 322

consideration the uncertainty of the model-based prediction at the level of the 30 × 30 m 323

test plots. Denoting the model-based prediction of mean volume per hectare for the target 324

stand i, based on the four 15 × 15 m cells, by , its variance was estimated as 325

326

327

where the row vector includes the column-specific means of the Jacobian , which 328

includes first derivatives of the assumed model function, evaluated at the parameter 329

estimates (Ståhl et al 2011), is the estimated variance-covariance matrix of 330

parameter estimates (Seber and Wild 1989), N is the number of 15 × 15 cells per test plot 331

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19

(always 4 in this study), and is the estimated covariance of the residual errors of 332

the model for cells j and k within the same plot i. The covariance can further be written as 333

334

335

where the estimated variances are obtained from the estimated power-type variance 336

function. Our data did not allow estimation of the spatial correlation of the prediction error 337

because we had only one 30 × 30 m plot per forest stand. Therefore, we used correlation 338

coefficients based on the exponential correlogram of Breidenbach et al. (2016) although 339

they had larger cells size (20m x 20m) than in this study (15m x 15m). Their function gave 340

for adjacent cells with a centre point distance of 15 m and 341

for cells that touch each other in the corner and had a centre point 342

distance of 21.2 m. The confidence intervals of mean volume per hectare were thereafter 343

constructed as;

344 345

346

where is the th quantile of the normal distribution. We used and 347

. 348

349

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20 3. Results

350 351

3.1 Comparison of DIPC and ALS metrics 352

353

The DIPC data describes the upper layer of the forest in more detail than the ALS data.

354

However, ALS data contains more observations close to the ground (Figure 2). Metrics 355

computed from the ALS and DIPC data for the 15 × 15 m cells are compared in Table 1 and 356

Figure 3. The upper row in Figure 3 shows two metrics with a strong relationship (r2 > 0.9) 357

and the lower row shows two metrics with a moderate relationship (r2 < 0.9) between the 358

ALS and DIPC data. The point cloud metrics are similar when the r2 value is close to 1 and the 359

estimates of and are close to 0 and 1, respectively. We accepted a metric if (1) r2 was >

360

0.9, (2) was > -1.0 and < 1.0, and (3) was > 0.9 and < 1.1. Because of the different 361

properties of the ALS and DIPC data, only 45 % of the calculated metrics fulfilled these 362

criteria. In particular, metrics that describe the height of the dominant tree layer (e.g. h60- 363

h95, havg, hmax) were similar across ALS and DIPC data. However, height metrics that 364

describe understorey height (e.g. h30), or canopy density metrics with a small threshold 365

value (e.g. d5) were less similar across ALS and DIPC data. The r2 values varied from 0.32 to 366

0.99, with a median of 0.88. Corresponding variations for of and were from -0.60 to 367

17.41 and 0.79 to 1.08, with medians of 1.18 and 0.98, respectively. The hypothesis that = 368

0 and = 1, with a significance level of 0.05, was rejected in 20 cases. It was not rejected 369

for the upper quantiles of the height distributions (h55-h95), which suggests that models 370

with these metrics are transferable between ALS and DIPC.

371 372

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21

Table 1. Correlations (r2) between airborne laser scanning (ALS) and drone image point cloud 373

(DIPC) metrics.

374

Metric Definition r2 DIPCmetric ALSmetric Pr(>F)

havg Average height of points 0.91 = 0.1808 + 1.0680x 0.000 hmed Median height of points 0.78 = 1.8318 + 0.9019x 0.024 hstd Standard deviation of point heights 0.92 = -0.3161 + 0.9206x 0.000 hmax Maximum height of points 0.98 = 0.4512 + 1.0044x 0.000 d0.5 Proportion of points above 0.5 meters 0.83 = 17.4122 + 0.8893x 0.000 d2 Proportion of points above 2 meters 0.87 = 6.4357 + 1.0017x 0.000 d5 Proportion of points above 5 meters 0.88 = 3.8167 + 1.0373x 0.000 d10 Proportion of points above 10 meters 0.92 = 3.1848 + 1.0446x 0.000 d15 Proportion of points above 15 meters 0.92 = 0.0684 + 1.0609x 0.022 d20 Proportion of points above 20 meters 0.95 = -0.6004 + 1.0847x 0.011 h5 5th quantile of point heights 0.32 = 1.1839 + 1.0087x 0.000 h10 10th quantile of point heights 0.34 = 2.1064 + 0.9860x 0.000 h15 15th quantile of point heights 0.43 = 2.7248 + 0.8953x 0.000 h20 20th quantile of point heights 0.49 = 3.0713 + 0.8318x 0.000 h25 25th quantile of point heights 0.58 = 3.5343 + 0.8101x 0.000 h30 30th quantile of point heights 0.70 = 3.5384 + 0.8322x 0.000 h35 35th quantile of point heights 0.62 = 3.4116 + 0.7931x 0.000 h40 40th quantile of point heights 0.63 = 3.0534 + 0.8207x 0.000 h45 45th quantile of point heights 0.68 = 2.2581 + 0.8652x 0.022 h50 50th quantile of point heights 0.78 = 1.8318 + 0.9019x 0.024 h55 55th quantile of point heights 0.88 = 1.1662 + 0.9410x 0.063 h60 60th quantile of point heights 0.96 = 0.3071 + 0.9898x 0.341 h65 65th quantile of point heights 0.96 = 0.6888 + 0.9616x 0.134 h70 70th quantile of point heights 0.97 = 0.3832 + 0.9770x 0.467 h75 75th quantile of point heights 0.98 = 0.2758 + 0.9819x 0.513 h80 80th quantile of point heights 0.98 = 0.3196 + 0.9769x 0.196 h85 85th quantile of point heights 0.99 = 0.3646 + 0.9747x 0.102 h90 90th quantile of point heights 0.99 = 0.3253 + 0.9766x 0.063 h95 95th quantile of point heights 0.99 = 0.2331 + 0.9839x 0.256 Note: r2 is the r-squared between the ALS and DIPC metrics, column DIPCmetric

375

ALSmetric presents the relationship functions for corresponding ALS and DIPC metrics and 376

column Pr(>F) the p-value of an F-test of the null hypothesis = 0 and = 1.

377 378

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22 379

Figure 3. Comparison of selected airborne laser scanning (ALS) and drone image point cloud 380

(DIPC) metrics in the 15 × 15 m cells. Note: havg = average of point heights, h95 = 95th 381

percentile of point heights, h30 = 30th percentile of point heights, d5 = proportion of points 382

above 5 m.

383 384 385

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23 3.2 Nationwide and regional area-based models 386

387

Nationwide ABA models for stem volume (m3 ha ) were:

388 389

(6) 390

(7) 391

392

where decid is 1 in deciduous dominated plots and 0 in coniferous dominated plots.

393

Subscript D denotes that the sample plots are disaggregated to coniferous or deciduous 394

dominated. The RMSE values between observed and predicted values in the training data 395

were 27.7 % and 24.3 % for models 5 and 6, respectively.

396 397

Regional ABA models for stem volume (m3 ha ) were:

398 399

(8) 400

(9) 401

402

The RMSE values between observed and predicted values in the training data were 26.3 % 403

and 22.0 % for models 7 and 8, respectively.

404 405

Local ABA models for stem volume (m3 ha ) were:

406 407

(25)

24

(10) 408

(11) 409

410

The RMSE values between the observed and predicted values in the training data were 24.6 411

% and 18.7 % for models 9 and 10, respectively. Estimated model parameters, associated 412

standard errors, and parameter estimates of power-type variance functions are presented in 413

Table 2. It should be noted that the use of disaggregation to coniferous or deciduous 414

dominated plots decreased the RMSE values in each scenario (nationwide by 3.4, regional by 415

4.3 and local by 5.9 percentage points).

416 417

Table 2. Estimated parameters of the mean function (Value), associated standard errors (SE), 418

and parameter estimates ( and ) of power-type variance function (Value) of nationwide 419

(Nat), regional (Reg) and local (Loc) models. Subscript D denotes that the sample plots are 420

disaggregated to coniferous or deciduous dominated.

421

VNat VNatD VReg VRegD VLoc VLocD

Value 4.89585 5.18609 11.38016 -0.52242 48.16397 9.27977

SE 0.28468 0.26133 5.31764 3.83188 6.30775 54.24493

Value 0.69467 2.80389 -4.06317 0.79935 1.70622 10.61760

SE 0.00721 0.15490 1.06491 0.03947 0.12107 2.69704

Value 2.11538 0.72222 4.83338 2.01073 -0.02091 -6.54612

SE 0.02324 0.01009 0.34838 0.18418 0.00748 1.14274

Value -1.34654 2.00006 0.00498 -2.79679 - 1.17704

SE 0.05340 0.04985 0.00089 0.24530 - 0.17336

Value - -3.18360 - - - -4.18874

SE - 0.10504 - - - 0.79109

Value - -2.16066 - - - -

SE - 0.05017 - - - -

Value 6.58947 4.16096 10.26694 3.24309 0.00590 0.61386

Value 0.98769 1.01740 0.95397 1.08674 2.16404 1.33882

422 423

424

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25 3.4 Performance in the test plots

425 426

Table 3 shows the relative RMSE and MD values associated with stem volume predictions in 427

the different scenarios with DIPC (Nat, Reg) or ALS (Loc) data in the 30 × 30 m test plots. The 428

performance of the basic form of the nationwide model (NatDIPC) was similar to the 429

regional model (RegDIPC) in terms of RMSE (25.9 % vs. 24.1 %), but it had a larger MD value 430

(10.4 % vs. 5.7 %). Compared to the basic form, the disaggregation of plots to coniferous or 431

deciduous dominated specifically improved predictions in the regional model (RMSE 24.1 % 432

to 13.1 % and MD 5.7 % to 0.9 %). Disaggregation also decreased RMSE values in the 433

nationwide scenario (25.9 % to 20.0 %); however MD values remained relatively large (10.4%

434

to 9.6 %). Although the MD and RMSE values associated with the NatDIPCD scenario were 435

greater than the values associated with the RegDIPCD scenario, the relationships between 436

observed and predicted values at the test plots were quite similar (Figure 4).

437 438

Table 3. Relative (%) root mean squared error (RMSE) and mean difference (MD) values of 439

stem volume predictions for 30 × 30 m test plots.

440

Scenario NatDIPC NatDIPCD RegDIPC RegDIPCD LocALS LocALSD

RMSE 25.9 20.0 24.1 13.1 14.1 7.9

MD 10.4 9.6 5.7 0.9 0.2 0.3

441

The regional model with disaggregation (RegDIPCD) had a smaller RMSE value (13.1 %) than 442

the local ALS model (LocALS) without disaggregation (14.1 %). The smallest RMSE value was 443

obtained with the local ALS model, where disaggregation of cells was conducted using 444

observed species proportions (7.9 %). Using MS-NFI information, 95 % of the coniferous 445

dominated cells (n = 59) and 76 % of the deciduous dominated cells (n = 17) were correctly 446

classified.

447

(27)

26 448

In the nationwide scenarios NatDIPC and NatDIPCD, 84.2 % and 89.5 % of the 19 confidence 449

intervals included the field-measured volume (Figure 4). Corresponding values for the 450

regional scenarios were 84.2 % (RegDIPC) and 94.7 % (RegDIPCD). Observed values were 451

always inside the confidence intervals in the local scenarios (LocALS and LocALSD). Errors (m3 452

ha ) in each test plot are presented and discussed in Appendix A.

453 454 455

(28)

27 456

Figure 4. Observed volumes (m3 ha-1) against predicted stem volumes (m3 ha-1) at the test 457

plots using nationwide (Nat), regional (Reg) and local (Loc) area-based (ABA) scenarios with 458

and without disaggregation to coniferous or deciduous dominated plots (subscript D).

459

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28 4. Discussion

460 461

We observed that the ABA metrics associated with the height of the dominant tree layer 462

were similar between ALS and DIPC data. We also showed that the ABA model fitted with 463

ALS data in another area performs well in stem volume prediction with metrics computed 464

from DIPC data (Table 3). Still, more tests are needed in different countries and types of 465

forests before we can recommend the use of the proposed approach outside of boreal 466

forests in the Nordic countries. Nevertheless, drone inventories without new in-situ field 467

measurements appear to be a cost-efficient solution for small- and medium-sized forest 468

holdings (< 100 ha). However, with the current technology, old ALS data are typically needed 469

for height normalisation of DIPC. In practical inventories, horizontal adjustment of DIPC may 470

not be needed if a small georegistration error in x/y-direction is acceptable.

471 472

Users should be aware of factors that cause uncertainty in the proposed approach. First, the 473

scanner model and data collection date (leaf-on vs. leaf-off) affect the ALS metrics used in 474

the models (Næsset 2005; Hopkinson 2007; Næsset 2009; Keränen et al. 2016). Second, 475

model parameters differ between the inventory areas because of variable growing 476

conditions and climate (Pretzsch 2009; Chave et al. 2014; Kotivuori et al. 2018). Therefore, 477

existing sample plots used as training data must be selected so that they represent the 478

target inventory area as much as possible. Third, the properties of DIPC vary within projects 479

because of the different sensors employed, data acquisition parameters, imaging conditions 480

and the algorithms used to construct point clouds from images. For these reasons, 481

prediction errors and MD values vary on a case-by-case basis. In this study, the regional 482

model resulted in smaller MD values than the nationwide model. We assume that this is due 483

(30)

29

to the fact that forest conditions are similar in the Sulkava and Liperi areas. Estimated 484

confidence intervals (Figure 4; Figure A1) further illustrate the uncertainties of our approach.

485

It should be noted that the model-based confidence intervals get wider as the number of 486

sample plots in the training data decreases (Figure 4). For this reason, the local scenarios, 487

which represent the best-case scenarios achievable by remote sensing, have the widest 488

confidence intervals despite exhibiting the smallest RMSE and MD values. However, almost 489

every inventory procedure contains uncertainties that may not be quantified by the 490

estimated confidence intervals. In this study, for example, such uncertainties include the 491

effects of different plot sizes in the modelling data and the different cell size used in the 492

prediction (Packalen et al. 2019), positioning errors of sample and test plots (Gobakken and 493

Næsset 2009), differences in field measurement protocols, use of (partly) predicted tree 494

heights in the field data (Eerikäinen 2009), use of diameter and height related stem volume 495

models (Laasasenaho 1982), errors in ground level interpolations from the ALS and DIPC 496

data, and the fact that the field data were updated using a growth model in one ALS 497

inventory area.

498 499

In this study, we used ALS DTM for the normalisation of drone-based DIPC heights. We also 500

tested the use of DIPC DTM, but it was not applied in the final analyses, because the terrain 501

level was elevated by several meters in one very dense spruce-dominated test plot (Table 502

A1, ID 18). Thus, ALS DTM is useful, especially in stands with a dense canopy. An alternative 503

is to use DTM-independent metrics, such as proposed by Giannetti et al. (2018). However, 504

ALS DTM is likely the best option when the canopy is very dense in large areas.

505 506

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30

The DIPC data in this study were collected in either sunny or cloudy weather conditions. It is 507

fair to assume that differences in illumination (e.g. due to clouds or solar angle) affect the 508

DIPC data. However, we did not observe that illumination had a noticeable effect on the 509

results, as also reported by Dandois et al. (2015). Wind conditions were rather stable when 510

DIPC data were collected, and, therefore, we assume that wind did not have a major impact 511

on the results.

512 513

The large MD values associated with our ALS based nationwide model predictions are in line 514

with the findings of Kotivuori et al. (2016) and Kotivuori et al. (2018). In contrast to these 515

previous studies, however, we found that the disaggregation of plots to deciduous or 516

coniferous dominated decreased the RMSE values associated with the nationwide and 517

regional models. This observation is logical, and in an ABA context, the benefits of 518

disaggregation have also been reported for tree species and site quality (Næsset 2002), 519

forest type (Bouvier et al. 2015) and dominant tree type (Ota et al. 2017). Furthermore, 520

Maltamo et al. (2016) reported that accounting for the proportions of spruce and deciduous 521

trees provided the greatest improvements in biomass predictions.

522 523

We also tested the sensitivity of predictions to wrongly predicted deciduous or coniferous 524

trees dominance (i.e. disaggregation error). In this study, we used the dominance 525

information calculated from the MS-NFI data. When the correct disaggregation was used, 526

the RMSE and MD values associated with the NatDIPCD scenario improved by 1.2 (20.0 % vs.

527

18.8 %) and 0.7 percentage points (9.6 % vs. 8.9 %), respectively. Correspondingly, the RMSE 528

value associated with the RegDIPCD scenario improved by 0.6 percentage points (13.1 % vs.

529

12.5 %) and the MD value went to zero (0.9% vs. 0.0%). As only minor improvements were 530

(32)

31

achieved with the correct disaggregation, we can conclude that the MS-NFI layers available 531

for the whole country are suitable for deciduous vs. coniferous disaggregation as applied in 532

this study.

533

(33)

32 5. Conclusions

534 535

In the boreal forests of the Nordic countries, the total stem volume can be predicted with 536

small error rates without in-situ field measurements using DIPC data, by applying ALS-based 537

ABA models that have been fitted elsewhere, as long as the models are constructed using 538

upper height percentiles computed from ALS echo elevations. The results were especially 539

promising if the model was fitted nearby in a similar type of forests. However, more tests in 540

different areas, datasets and forest types are needed before more detailed conclusions can 541

be drawn. The ABA metrics that are related to upper canopy height (e.g. h95) correlate 542

strongly between DIPC and ALS data. However, the use of DIPC data usually requires ALS- 543

based DTM for height normalisation, especially in areas with a dense canopy. Disaggregation 544

of the inventory area to coniferous and deciduous further decreased the error rates.

545 546 547

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33 Acknowledgements

548 549

The authors thank the Finnish Forestry Centre, the National Land Survey of Finland, Blom 550

Kartta Oy, TerraTec Oy and Arbonaut Oy Ltd for providing airborne laser scanning (ALS) and 551

field data for the creation of nationwide and regional models. The authors also thank the 552

Finnish Forest Centre and the Academy of Finland for supporting data collection in the Liperi 553

test area with two projects: ALS4D (The Research Council for Natural Sciences and 554

Engineering, Grant No. 295341) and FORBIO (The Strategic Research Council, Grant No.

555

314224). Finally, we thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments that helped us to 556

greatly improve the manuscript.

557 558

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44 Appendix A

786 787

The stem volume errors (m3 ha ) of individual test plots are presented for the NatDIPCD, 788

RegDIPCD and LocALSD scenarios in Figure A1. Only scenarios where plots are disaggregated 789

by the dominance of coniferous or deciduous trees are presented. Figure A1 also shows the 790

differences (m3 ha ) between the stem volume observations and the upper and lower 791

bounds of the confidence intervals. These errors can be contrasted against the stand 792

attributes presented in Table A1. Note that test plot IDs shown in Figure A1 correspond to 793

the IDs shown in Table A1.

794 795

When the different scenarios were compared at the level of individual plots, we noted that 796

prediction errors associated with the DIPC-based regional model were closer to zero than 797

errors associated with the corresponding nationwide model in 68.4 % of the test plots. It 798

should also be noted that the overestimation associated with the nationwide ABA (Table 3) 799

is more clearly shown in Figure A1 than in Figure 4. The errors associated with the regional 800

and local models were more evenly distributed (Figure A1). Overall, the nationwide 801

approach provided the smallest errors in 21.1 %, the regional approach in 47.4 % and the 802

local area-based approach in 31.6 % of the individual test plots.

803 804

In scenarios NatDIPCD and RegDIPCD, there was one test plot (ID 18) where the confidence 805

interval was clearly underestimated (Figure A1). Plot 18 was very dense (G > 40 m2) (Table 806

A1), which may explain the large error associated with it. In plot 18, the understorey points 807

of DIPC were rare due to a lack of visible targets, which affected the ABA metrics. However, 808

(46)

45

the ALS pulses were better able to penetrate the canopy, resulting in more reliable ABA 809

metrics and final predictions (LocALSD).

810 811 812

813

Figure A1. Differences (m3 ha ) (black dots) between observed and predicted stem volumes 814

in each 30 × 30 m test plot using the nationwide (Nat), regional (Reg) and local (Loc) area- 815

Viittaukset

LIITTYVÄT TIEDOSTOT

Prediction of tree height, basal area and stem volume in forest stands using airborne laser scanning. Identifying species of individual trees using airborne

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