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From comprehensive field inventories to remotely sensed wall-to-wall stand attribute data - a brief history of management inventories in the Nordic countries

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Rinnakkaistallenteet Luonnontieteiden ja metsätieteiden tiedekunta

2021

From comprehensive field inventories to remotely sensed wall-to-wall stand attribute data - a brief history of

management inventories in the Nordic countries

Maltamo, M

Canadian Science Publishing

Tieteelliset aikakauslehtiartikkelit

© 2021 Authors All rights reserved

http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-2020-0322

https://erepo.uef.fi/handle/123456789/26274

Downloaded from University of Eastern Finland's eRepository

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From comprehensive field inventories to remotely sensed wall-to-wall stand attribute data - a brief 1

history of management inventories in the Nordic countries 2

3

Maltamo, M.1, matti.maltamo@uef.fi 4

Packalen, P.1, petteri.packalen@uef.fi 5

Kangas, A.2, annika.kangas@luke.fi 6

1. University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 111, 80101 Joensuu, 7

Finland, 8

2. Natural Resources Institute Finland, Bioeconomy and Environment, P.O. Box 68, 80100 9

Joensuu, Finland 10

11

ABSTRACT 12

13

Forest Management Inventories (FMIs) provide critical information, usually at the stand 14

level, for forest management planning. A typical FMI includes i) the delineation of the 15

inventory area to stands by applying auxiliary information, ii) the classification of the stands 16

according to categorical attributes, such as age, site fertility, main tree species, stand 17

development, and iii) measurement, modelling and prediction of stand attributes of 18

interest. The emergence of wall-to-wall remote-sensing data has enabled a paradigm change 19

in FMIs from highly subjective, visual assessments to objective, model-based inferences.

20

Previously, optical remote-sensing data were used to complement visual assessments, 21

especially in stand delineation and height measurements. The evolution of airborne laser 22

scanning (ALS) has made objective estimation of forest characteristics with known accuracy 23

possible. New optical and Lidar-based sensors and platforms will allow further 24

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improvements of accuracy. However, there are still bottlenecks related to species-specific 25

stand attribute information in mixed stands and assessments of tree quality. Here we 26

concentrate on approaches and methods that have been applied in the Nordic countries in 27

particular.

28 29

Keywords: airborne laser scanning, forest management planning, inventory by 30

compartments, relascope, tree species 31

32 33

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4 INTRODUCTION

34 35

The National Forest Inventory (NFI) and the forest management inventory (FMI) are the two 36

main types of forest inventories. The main aim of the NFI is to provide sample-based large- 37

area forest resource information for national and regional policy-making (Table 1). However, 38

as forest management decisions are made at the stand level, i.e., the treatment unit level, 39

there has been a need for separate management inventories (Burkhart et al. 1978), which 40

have traditionally been based on field visits to each stand. Thus an FMI produces a wall-to- 41

wall map that covers each individual stand and estate. FMI data have several potential uses, 42

depending on the user’s needs and the extent of the areas of interest (AOIs) (Table 1).

43 44

The availability of wall-to-wall auxiliary information has brought a revolutionary change in 45

FMIs from highly subjective and often visual assessments towards objective, statistical 46

estimates with known accuracy. This is important, for the value of the data for decision- 47

making correlates strongly with the accuracy of the assessments (e.g., Kangas et al. 2018b).

48

The use of auxiliary remote-sensing data enables a localization of sample plot data to the 49

single stand level, which has led to the development of model-based small-area estimation 50

in management inventories (Breidenbach et al. 2016). This means that the differences 51

between a management inventory and a sample-based inventory have diminished. Sample- 52

based forest inventories can be regarded as a continuum from the stand level to the national 53

or even global level (Kangas et al. 2019b).

54 55

Whether the inventory is based on field visits or remote sensing, the basic steps are i) the 56

delineation of the inventory area to stands by the use of wall-to-wall auxiliary information, ii) 57

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classification of the stands according to categorical attributes, such as age, site fertility, main 58

tree species, stand development class and iii) measurement, modelling and prediction of 59

stand attributes of interest, possibly by tree species. In the years following the inventory, the 60

information must be updated in regard to the treatments carried out in the forests as well as 61

the growth of the forests to meet the requirements of the users. Predictions of the future 62

development of the forest stock are needed for forest planning. A typical inventory cycle is 63

approximately 10 years, depending on the conditions, but the increased use of remote- 64

sensing data is expected to shorten it in the future.

65 66

In this paper we describe the evolution of FMIs and the impact of the information obtained 67

on the management of forests. We focus on the Nordic countries and the paradigm shift 68

from subjective field inventories to objective wall-to-wall inventories, based on remote 69

sensing, and their developments in near future.

70 71

HISTORY OF MANAGEMENT INVENTORIES 72

The era of field assessments 73

74

The basic principles of the stand-level management inventory were developed in central 75

Europe during the 19th century (Loetsch et al. 1973). The first management inventories were 76

conducted in special areas (Næsset 2014), such as Koli National Park in Finland (see e.g.

77

Vehmas et al. 2009) where the first inventory of slash-and-burn areas, fields, meadows and 78

forest lands was carried out between 1835–1845, and the first forest inventory was 79

performed in 1910 (Vehmas et al. 2009).

80 81

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The process followed in the management inventory based on field measurements is 82

described in Fig. 1. In the earliest applications, the inventory areas were delineated 83

according to base maps or, if no map was available, the inventory would also include a land 84

survey (see, e.g., Koivuniemi and Korhonen 2006). The use of aerial photographs as auxiliary 85

data for stand delineation was initiated in the 1940s. Historically, the tree stock 86

characterization was based on visual stand density assessments and height measurements, 87

for example, which were used to predict the stand volume (Ilvessalo 1965). The introduction 88

of the relascope principle and the corresponding measurement device improved the stand 89

density measurements (Bitterlich 1984), enabling accurate and rapid measurements of the 90

stand basal area. When this information was combined with mean height data, the 91

prediction of stand volume (through the application of volume tariff models or tables) was 92

easy, even in the field scale.

93 94

In many cases, the fieldwork-based management inventory is still based on relascope and 95

height measurements or different modifications of this method. This is also true outside the 96

Nordic countries. In Russia, for example, 60 % of the state forests have been inventoried 97

with this type of approach (Kinnunen et al. 2007). In many countries, however, the field- 98

based approach has already been replaced with remote-sensing applications.

99 100

The delineation of stands is typically based on differences in tree species, site fertility and 101

stand development class (or stand age). Field plots are subjectively placed at 102

“representative” locations within the stand. The field work is thus based on purposive rather 103

than design-based sampling. This is because any systematic placement of the sample plots 104

within a stand would make their measurement too slow and too expensive (Koivuniemi and 105

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Korhonen 2006). Within each plot, the few measurements made include measurements of 106

the basal area and the height (possibly by tree species) plus a visual recording of the age, soil 107

type, site fertility, stand development class, and other categorical stand attributes. In some 108

countries, the mean diameter in the field is also assessed, and the final stand-level estimates 109

are averaged from the plot assessments. It is also possible to visually assess the tree quality 110

and characterize the needs of silvicultural operations in the field. In North America, a stand- 111

level forest inventory is typically known as cruising, but this characterization may refer either 112

to the management inventory or the pre-harvest inventory.

113 114

When stand-level volume models are used, the prediction of stand attributes not assessed in 115

the field is straightforward, provided that the characterization of the tree stock is kept at the 116

stand level. When stand-level models are used, a compatible system of equations may be 117

used to both predict the current state of the tree stock and project future development.

118

Systems of this type may include equations for the basal area and the dominant height and 119

volume (e.g., Hyink and Moser 1983). However, if information on the mean diameter is also 120

recorded, it is possible to back-transform the tree stock to the tree level by the applying 121

theoretical diameter distribution models (Kilkki et al. 1989). This means using field estimates 122

of stand attributes to predict or recover parameters of some probability density function, 123

possibly by tree species, which are then used as a surrogate for actual diameter distribution.

124

Tree heights and volumes can also be predicted at the tree level in the same way. This 125

approach allows the characterization of the horizontal forest structure and the prediction of 126

timber assortments, which is very important information for management planning despite 127

the considerable uncertainty that usually attaches to the predictions. This approach also 128

allows for predicting the development of the tree stock using single-tree growth models.

129

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As field plots are typically located subjectively, the accuracy of a stand-level inventory 131

cannot be calculated within the design-based approach. Though a model-based approach 132

could be applied, it is usually not. However, validation inventory applications for the stand 133

level have been developed (Jonsson and Lindgren 1978, Ståhl 1992). They are usually based 134

on a systematic layout of validation plots in sampled stands. In validation inventories 135

conducted in Finland and Russia, the relative root mean square error (RMSE) values 136

associated with stand-level tree volume predictions have been over 20 % and 30 %, 137

respectively, and species-specific estimates have been considerably more inaccurate (Haara 138

and Korhonen 2004, Kinnunen et al 2007). The validation inventories also show that stand 139

attributes are often underestimated, which may be due to visibility problems with the basal 140

area measurements and to the precautionary principle followed in the assessments, 141

especially in densely stocked stands.

142 143

The need for up-to-date data has lead to the use of growth models in updating the stand- 144

level data. The forest companies have been updating their data from the 1980s, and 145

digitalization has brought the updating of data within reach of private forest owners, too.

146

The accuracy of the updated data has been evaluated by means of separate validation 147

studies like the original data. Hyvönen and Korhonen (2003), for instance, found 5-year-old 148

updated data to be as accurate as a new inventory. However, the reliability of the updated 149

information decreases over time (Haara and Leskinen 2009), necessitating a new inventory 150

by and by. Remote sensing has enabled the updating of the treatments by means of satellite 151

images (e.g., Pitkänen et al. 2020).

152 153

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In plantation forestry, the main emphasis may be on the prediction of site quality (Rombauts 154

et al. 2010, Tesfamichael et al. 2010), usually based on the dominant height or volume 155

besides stand age and initial tree density. Another specific use of the management inventory 156

is timber sale inventories, i.e., pre-harvest inventories, in which the AOI may be just one 157

marked stand (Siipilehto et al. 2016). In that case the primary interest lies in the description 158

of diameter distribution and the quality attributes of individual stems (Kankare et al. 2014).

159

Another example is the inventory that seeks to map some specific tree species, often related 160

protecting commercial trees of high value (Sverdrup-Thygeson et al. 2016, Kivinen et al.

161

2020).

162 163

The use of optical remote-sensing data as auxiliary information 164

165

The use of aerial image data in forest inventory work started after 1945, though some forest- 166

related experiments had been conducted earlier (e.g., Seely 1929, Spurr 1955). By the 1950s, 167

studies to characterize the growing stock by visual interpretation of aerial images were 168

ongoing (e.g., Nyyssönen 1955, Willingham 1957), although the common practical 169

applications that we know had not yet emerged.

170 171

The situation changed in the 1970s with the development of stereo photogrammetry. In 172

Norway, for instance, stand delineation, stand height and crown closure were determined by 173

means of analogue images and stereo plotters, and stand volumes were then predicted by 174

means of the existing volume models (see Næsset 2014) (also see Fig. 1). Other parameters, 175

such as tree species and site quality, were also interpreted visually. Field visits were 176

performed only occasionally. Inventory approaches of this type were also common in many 177

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other countries, such as Sweden, and are still used in Canada, for example (White et al.

178

2013).

179 180

The next developments in remote-sensing materials were the availability of digitized images 181

in the 1990s and images taken with digital aerial cameras in the early 2000s. The digitized 182

and digital images were often orthorectified, so that they could be treated similarly to 183

georeferenced maps (Mikhail et al. 2001). At the same time, advances in satellite positioning 184

systems improved the positioning accuracy of field plots. This led to multiple approaches to 185

utilizing aerial and satellite images (Holmgren et al. 2000, Hyvönen et al. 2005). Most of 186

these were computer-aided automated methods operating at the stand, plot, or tree level.

187

The plot and the stand-level approaches typically used tone and texture metrics to predict 188

stand characteristics. Several algorithms were also developed for individual tree detection 189

(ITD) from images (see, e.g., Packalen 2009). Despite active research, most of these 190

approaches never got to be used operationally, with the exception of some aerial image- 191

based 2D systems that were put to practice for a short time (Anttila and Lehikoinen 2002).

192

The reason for their lack of use in operational inventories lies in the limited information 193

contained in the images: in most cases the RMSE values associated with volume predictions 194

were clearly over 30 %, thereby making field inventory information more preferable.

195 196

THE EVOLUTION OF ALS-BASED MANAGEMENT INVENTORIES 197

Basic principles 198

In the past 20 years, the emergence of accurate wall-to-wall remote-sensing data from 199

airborne laser scanning (ALS) has had a major impact on stand-level management 200

inventories (White et al. 2013, Maltamo and Packalen 2014, Næsset 2014); the first studies 201

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in this field were initiated as early as the 1990s (Næsset 1997, also see review by Nelson 202

2013). The usability of ALS data is based on 3D point clouds that describe the tree canopy in 203

detail. While the attributes of the canopy are usually not of primary interest in a 204

management inventory, the metrics derived from point clouds have a very strong statistical 205

relationship to volume and height, for example. Their correlation to tree species information 206

is markedly weaker, which is why stand-level management inventories are often carried out 207

by also using digital optical images (Kukkonen et al. 2018).

208 209

In ALS studies, there has been a strong emphasis on management inventories from the start, 210

while research related to sampling-based large-area inventories and biomass and ecological 211

applications have started later (Vauhkonen et al. 2014a, Saarela et al. 2015, Kangas et al.

212

2018a). To date, ALS-based commercial management inventories have been applied in 213

practical forestry in the Nordic countries (Norway, Sweden, Denmark, and Finland), Estonia, 214

USA, Brazil, South Africa, New Zealand, Spain, Australia, and Canada (see Turunen et al.

215

2012, McRoberts et al. 2014, Nord-Larsen et al. 2017, Nilsson et al. 2017), and associated 216

research has been conducted in numerous other countries. It is notable that even after a 217

short period of research, the use of ALS has become one of the main methods of stand-level 218

management inventories in many countries. In Norway, ALS-based commercial inventories 219

started in 2002, and in Finland, approximately 3 000 000 hectares are interpreted by means 220

of ALS annually (Maltamo and Packalen 2014).

221 222

There are two basic ways of using ALS information in forest inventories. They are the area- 223

based approach (ABA) and ITD (Vauhkonen et al. 2014a). The ABA model employs the 224

relationship between ALS metrics and the stand attributes. The training for the ABA model 225

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uses a set of sample plots, from which the attributes are predicted to grid cells covering the 226

entire inventory area. In ITD, individual trees are first identified and the attributes of interest 227

are then predicted by means of ALS data obtained from the area of the tree crown. Most of 228

the practical management inventory applications have been conducted with ABA, but ITD or 229

a combination of ITD and ABA has been used in several projects in Sweden (e.g., Lindberg et 230

al. 2010, Lindberg and Holmgren 2017). In general, low pulse-density (< 1 pulse per m2) ALS 231

data have been used, but the pulse density has increased markedly in recent years; In 232

Finland, for example, the density is currently >5 points per m2. Below, we describe the 233

principles of the ABA-based inventory system applied in the Nordic countries (Næsset 2002, 234

2004, Packalén and Maltamo 2007, Nilsson et al. 2017, Nord-Larsen et al. 2017).

235 236

An inventory project starts with delineation of the AOIs. Larger areas are preferred for the 237

inventory, for they make for better cost-efficiency in the ALS data acquisition. Typically, the 238

area is over 100 000 hectares. The next phases involve the acquisition of remote-sensing 239

data and the planning of the placement of field data plots on the basis of the available 240

auxiliary data. Usually, a degree of pre-stratification is performed and non-forest areas 241

omitted. In the pre-stratification phase, older inventory data updated with growth models 242

may be utilized. If remote-sensing data are available, a more detailed pre-stratification can 243

be carried out. Besides, stratification allows concentrating the field plots in the strata of 244

interest, so that sparsely stocked areas, such as peatlands and mountain forests, can be 245

omitted from the inventory.

246 247

In Norway, the stand delineation and stratification are carried out by means of 248

orthophotography and digital stereo photogrammetry (Næsset 2014). If no auxiliary data are 249

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used and the selection is either simple random sampling or systematic sampling, there is a 250

risk of the number of field plots, usually small, not capturing all the variation present in the 251

inventory area. If auxiliary data, such as older inventory data or remote-sensing data, are 252

available, they can be used in the selection of the field plots by means of stratified sampling 253

(McRoberts et al. 2014), balanced sampling (Grafström et al. 2014), or other similar methods 254

to enhance the selection efficiency (e.g., Maltamo et al. 2011). If a model-based approach is 255

used, it is also possible to optimize the sample with respect to a given model.

256 257

The acquisition of field data requires highly accurate plot geo-referencing. Studies to date 258

have shown that positioning errors in forested areas are approximately 1 m (e.g., Gobakken 259

and Næsset 2009). Usually, diameter at breast height (DBH) is measured and the species is 260

recorded for all trees in the sample plot, while tree height is usually measured from a subset 261

of trees (Maltamo and Packalen 2014). Furthermore, stand age and certain categorical 262

variables are recorded, but tree locations are typically not determined.

263 264

The modelling of stand attributes is based on training data that consist of field attributes and 265

the ALS metrics from the same plots (Næsset 2002). The ALS metrics applied are typically 266

those related to the height distribution of the ALS echoes, but some density metrics and 267

other statistical characteristics (e.g., standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis) are also 268

frequently used. If the interest is in separating the tree species, metrics based on the 269

intensity values of the ALS points can be applied (Ørka et al. 2007, Korpela et. al 2010). The 270

most straightforward approach is a regression analysis between ALS metrics and stand 271

attributes, such as volume, basal area, number of stems, mean diameter, and Lorey’s height 272

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(see Næsset 2002, 2014), but the nearest neighbour (k-nn) imputation is also commonly 273

used (Lindberg et al. 2013).

274 275

Species-specific predictions 276

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There has been a fair amount of research into species-specific estimation in boreal 278

conditions (e.g., Holmgren and Persson 2004, Packalén and Maltamo 2007, Holmgren et al.

279

2008, Korpela et al. 2010, Ørka et al. 2013, Yu et al. 2017, Budei et al. 2018, Kukkonen et al.

280

2018, 2019). Tree species may be considered in many ways. At the plot/stand level, for 281

instance, either the main tree species, the proportions of the species, or the stand attributes 282

by tree species are predicted, depending on the requirements of the end-user or the 283

established practise in the country.

284 285

In Finland, stand attributes by tree species have traditionally been produced with the field 286

inventory system (Koivuniemi and Korhonen 2006); and corresponding information also 287

needs to be provided by the current remote-sensing inventories. The stand attributes by 288

tree species are needed because mixed stands are very common in Finland. The tree species 289

(classes) separated for commercial reasons in a remote-sensing inventory are pine, spruce, 290

and the deciduous species (mostly birch). Due to the compatibility requirement of species- 291

specific estimates, the modelling is typically carried out simultaneously with the k-nn 292

imputation approach (Packalén and Maltamo 2007). This also allows the estimation of 293

species-specific tree lists (Packalén and Maltamo 2008). The process of the species-specific 294

ALS inventory is described in Fig. 2, and the remote-sensing materials included are presented 295

in Fig. 3.

296

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Although ALS data include intensity values, which have some capacity to discriminate among 298

tree species (Ørka et al. 2007), and leaf-off data can distinguish between coniferous and 299

deciduous species (Kim et al. 2009, Villikka et al. 2011), tree species discrimination in 300

operational inventories is improved by also using the metrics of aerial images as predictor 301

variables (Fig. 3) (Packalén and Maltamo 2007).

302 303

Another approach is to predict the main tree species (Astrup et al. 2019) or assume them to 304

be known from other data sources or from pre-stratification (Næsset 2002). Other data 305

sources, such as older inventory data, may contain information on either the proportions of 306

the species or the main tree species. In many plantations it is sufficient to only know the 307

main tree species of a stand, but for mixed stands, more detailed information is likely to be 308

needed.

309 310 311

Wall-to-wall implementation 312

313

The ABA models constructed are applied to a systematic grid of cells overlaid on the 314

inventory area with no consideration of stand borders (Næsset 2004). In general, the size of 315

one cell is approximately the same as the size of a training plot (Packalen et al. 2019). The 316

smallest area of interest is usually an individual stand, for which the information is obtained 317

by averaging the predictions for individual cells (Fig. 3). This also means ignoring the within- 318

stand variation produced by the model predictions. Most of the stands are not represented 319

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in the training data. In this sense, the models are characterized as synthetic (Särndal et al.

320

1992, Magnussen et al. 2016, Astrup et al. 2019).

321 322

While stand delineation in the past has usually been based on visual interpretation or 323

segmentation of aerial images, ALS data offer possibilities of developing the delineation 324

approaches by using, e.g., the canopy height model (Fig. 3) (e.g., Mustonen et al. 2008, 325

Pascual et al. 2008). By segmentation one may obtain homogeneous microstands, which are 326

then combined into operational stands in connection with forest planning or silvicultural 327

operations. But predictions of stand attributes for microstands are also made by means of a 328

systematic grid, thus using the same prediction unit as is used for stands.

329 330

During the development of an ALS-based management inventory in Norway, a large number 331

of aspects with respect to field and ALS data have been examined: plot size, number of plots, 332

geo-referencing accuracy, ALS point density, leaf-on and leaf-off data, flying altitude, and the 333

effects of different sensors (see Næsset 2014). This has led to the optimization of inventory 334

parameters. Leaf-off ALS data is suitable for the inventory (Næsset 2014, White 2015), and it 335

improves the separation of deciduous and coniferous species (Villikka et al. 2011). However, 336

the acquisition window of leaf-off data between snowmelt and leaf burst is narrow in the 337

Nordic countries, being just a few weeks in some cases. Leaf-off data may also be used in 338

land surveying for terrain modelling, which increases the cost-efficiency, provided the data 339

acquisition costs are shared among the partners.

340 341

Another possibility to reduce inventory costs is the use of existing field plots. In recent years, 342

some research has been carried out into using ground truth data from geographically 343

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neighbouring areas inventoried earlier on (Gopalakrishnan et al. 2015, Fekety et al. 2018, 344

Kotivuori et al. 2018, Tompalski et al. 2019). The results are promising in general, but the 345

transferability of species-specific forest attributes remains a challenge. Another alternative 346

for management inventories is a combination of NFI and management inventory field data 347

(Maltamo et al. 2009, Tuominen et al. 2014). This is a realistic alternative if the plots are geo- 348

referenced and the plot properties (size and shape) and growing stock measurements are 349

similar. While NFI plots could be used as the sole source of field plots to predict stand-level 350

data (Nilsson et al 2017, Astrup et al. 2019), the sampling intensity in NFI is usually 351

insufficient for management inventories. For that purpose, the NFI sampling design must be 352

intensified locally by measuring more field plots. Currently, many NFIs are based on the 353

principle of continuous forest inventory, which means that the whole country is inventoried 354

every year by applying a rather sparse sample of field plots. This is beneficial for 355

management inventories, as it makes some up-to-date data continuously available in 356

different parts of the country. Moreover, NFI data from previous years can be utilized, 357

provided the silvicultural operations carried out within the dataset are taken into 358

consideration.

359 360

A further possibility for an ALS inventory is to use the field data obtained from harvester 361

machines. This requires accurate geo-referencing of the harvester machine and is restricted 362

to clearcut stands. Works by Hauglin et al. (2018) and Maltamo (2019) have shown that this 363

is a realistic alternative for stand volume and tree-list predictions. However, there are error 364

sources in this procedure, such as bark slippage in the stems, technical errors in the GPS and the

365

harvester head due to the field conditions, and the effect of the retention trees, which are

366

counted by ALS but not by the harvester.

367

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369

Reliability 370

371

Typically, the accuracy of an ALS-based inventory has been assessed by means of training 372

plots or somewhat larger validation plots (e.g., Næsset 2002, Holmgren 2004, Packalén and 373

Maltamo 2007). The use of harvester data allows for empirical stand-level validation, as was 374

shown by Maltamo et al. (2019), but only for clearcut stands.

375 376

As the data are used at the stand level, the accuracy assessments also need to be made at 377

the stand level. In FMI, accuracy assessments have traditionally been carried out by 378

conducting a more accurate stand inventory and comparing that with the inventory results.

379

A similar approach is also possible for an ALS-based inventory. Wallenius et al. (2012), for 380

example, conducted a field inventory to assess the accuracy of an ALS inventory. The 381

drawbacks are that such an inventory is costly and that the results are only available a long 382

time after the original inventory.

383 384

Stand-level accuracy can be assessed in real time by using wall-to-wall remote-sensing data 385

and a model-based sampling theory. In principle, the errors of the model can be used 386

directly to estimate the accuracy attained at the stand level even if there are no field plots 387

available from the stand in question (synthetic estimation; see Magnussen and Breidenbach 388

2017). The within-stand correlations of the predictions, however, cause an underestimation 389

of the stand-level RMSE values. Due to these correlations, the model has a stand-level bias 390

(the so-called stand effect). It is an error component that is fixed within the stand, whereas 391

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the residual variance decreases with an increasing number of grid cells within the stand (e.g., 392

Breidenbach et al. 2016). If the strength of the correlations can be assessed, it is possible to 393

obtain a satisfactory estimate of the accuracy attained (Magnussen et al 2016). To that end, 394

Astrup et al. (2019), for example, used information from a previous study by Rahlf et al.

395

(2014), where the stand effect accounted for about 25 % and the residual error for about 75 396

% of the total error variance in the stand-level analysis.

397 398

Instead of a stand effect, it is possible to estimate the autocorrelation function and to use 399

that for a model-based accuracy assessment (Puliti et al. 2019). Using an autocorrelation 400

function means that instead of assuming the within-stand correlation to be constant, the 401

inter-cell correlation is assumed to decrease with increasing inter-cell distance (McRoberts 402

et al. 2018).

403 404

Accuracy assessments of updated ALS inventory data have typically also been carried out by 405

means of a separate validation study (e.g., Luoma et al. 2017). Contrary to expectations, ALS 406

data updated over a short period can even have a smaller relative RMSE than a new 407

inventory. On the other hand, the levels of bias can be much higher in the updated data than 408

in new data, and that can lead to the new inventory data still carrying more value in the 409

decision-making (Kangas et al. 2019a).

410 411

Instead of a validation study, it is also possible to use a model-based approach to assessing 412

the accuracy of the updated data by employing the concept of hybrid or model-based 413

inference (e.g., Fortin et al. 2019, Melo et al. 2019). Use of the Kalman filter approach will 414

enable an assessment of the accuracy of the updated data and also an assimilation of the old 415

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data with new data in order to obtain more accurate information (e.g., Ehlers et al. 2013, 416

Nyström et al. 2013). It is also possible to use composites of different data sources whose 417

model-based accuracy estimates are known (e.g., Ehlers et al. 2018, Lindström et al. 2017).

418 419 420

NOVEL REMOTE-SENSING DATA SOURCES 421

422

Traditionally, the inventory cycle of a management inventory has been 10 years. Nowadays, 423

more frequent updating of forest resource information is considered optimal. Rather than 424

making the inventory cycle shorter (by repeating ALS data acquisition), alternatives with 425

lower costs have been developed over the past decade. The most promising alternative is 426

photogrammetric matching of airborne images (Gobakken et al. 2015, White et al. 2015, 427

Goodbody et al. 2019).

428 429

This approach provides a point cloud comparable to ALS point data, but only from the upper 430

canopy. To utilize these data, an accurate Digital Terrain Model (DTM) is usually required to 431

scale the heights to the above-ground level. Typically, an ALS DTM is used for this purpose 432

(St-Onge et al. 2008, Bohlin et al. 2012). Moreover, old ALS DTMs can be used, for the terrain 433

level in a forest does not change rapidly over the years or even over the decades. Currently, 434

ALS DTMs are available in many countries, and thus the lack of accurate DTMs often does 435

not limit the usability of photogrammetrically created point clouds in forest inventories.

436

Several studies have shown that the accuracy of the stand attributes provided by 437

photogrammetrically created point clouds is only marginally poorer than the corresponding 438

values obtained in an ALS inventory (Bohlin et al. 2012, Gobakken et al. 2015, Tuominen et 439

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al. 2017, Puliti et al. 2017). If this is sufficient for FMI requirements, then future inventory 440

cycles can be based on photogrammetrically created point clouds as well. In species-specific 441

FMIs, this approach provides a single-sensor solution, for the tone and texture metrics can 442

be computed from the same images (Kukkonen et al. 2019).

443 444

Very high-resolution spaceborne stereo images may be used similarly to airborne images to 445

create point clouds photogrammetrically (Straub et al. 2013). This requires a special satellite 446

constellation and data acquisition setup, such as two satellites operating in the same orbit 447

(e.g., Pléiades 1A/1B), or repeat pass of the same satellite over the AOIs (e.g., WorldView-2).

448

Research that uses point clouds based on satellite images for forest inventories is still at the 449

beginning stage (see, e.g., Persson and Perko 2016, Hosseini et al. 2020), and we are not 450

aware of any operational FMI projects on that basis. The motivation for using spaceborne 451

stereo images instead of airborne data is typically an aspiration to cover large areas at low 452

cost (e.g., Fassnacht et al. 2017), but these advantages are not apparent.

453 454

In many countries, a second round of ALS inventories has already started. This provides a 455

possibility for the use of bitemporal ALS data. Data of this type bring forth new opportunities 456

to incorporate site productivity and local growth trends into ALS inventories (Tompalski et al.

457

2018). For example, Noordermeer et al. (2018) have presented a range of approaches to 458

predicting site productivity in Norway by applying bitemporal ALS metrics and existing site 459

index curves. For the practical implementation of this approach (Noordermeer et al. 2020), 460

any disturbances between the two consecutive ALS data acquisitions need to be detected 461

(Noordermeer et al. 2019). The introduction of site productivity into applications of 462

bitemporal ALS data can be regarded as a major improvement in ALS-based management 463

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inventories; previously, the site index has mainly been dealt with in some research (e.g., 464

Gatziolis 2007).

465 466

New laser scanning technologies are developed continually. Single-photon and Geiger-mode 467

Lidar have recently emerged on the commercial market (Leica SPL100, Harris). Both systems 468

detect backscattering photons more sensitively than conventional ALS systems do (Degnan 469

et al. 2016). Typically, just a few photons are sufficient to record a range of measurements.

470

The high sensitivity of the single-photon Lidar enables the collection of high-density point 471

clouds from higher altitudes than current ALS systems do. The most attractive property of 472

these systems is their cost-efficiency in large areas. Wästlund et al. (2018) and Yu et al.

473

(2020) obtained a level of accuracy in predicting forest attributes with single-photon Lidar 474

data that was similar to those obtained with conventional ALS data, although the flight 475

altitude was considerably higher in the single-photon acquisition. However, single-photon 476

and Geiger-mode Lidar data are not widely used at present, and with their current cost 477

structure, they are not cost-efficient options for a standard FMI project.

478 479

For discerning different species in an ALS inventory, there are now alternatives to aerial 480

images. Hyperspectral airborne Lidar data have been used successfully with ALS data 481

(Kandare et al. 2017), and modern moderate spatial-resolution satellite sensors, such as 482

Sentinel-2, also provide useful data for species discrimination (Kukkonen et al. 2018, Persson 483

et al. 2018). Correspondingly, multispectral ALS systems provide improved species 484

information (Axelsson et al. 2018, Kukkonen et al. 2019), and the use of bitemporal ALS 485

metrics may also improve the species discrimination (Räty et al.2019).

486 487

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A new platform that has been examined extensively in the forest inventory context over the 488

recent years is unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) (see, e.g., the reviews by Goodbody et al.

489

2017 and Torresan et al. 2017). In general, UAVs are used to capture images, from which 490

point clouds are then generated by means of stereo matching; UAV-based laser scanning 491

systems have also gained popularity. UAVs are cost-efficient in capturing data from relatively 492

small areas (e.g., <100 ha), while obtaining a representative field sample from the same area 493

at a reasonable cost is a huge challenge. Therefore, the approach used with airborne data, 494

i.e., collecting a new set of sample plots from the inventory area, cannot be used in UAV 495

inventories. Some recent studies have focused on developing alternatives that do not need 496

local field data at all (e.g., Kotivuori et al. 2020, Puliti et al. 2020). UAVs may also be used for 497

local calibrations and detection of changes, such as windthrown trees. Although there is a 498

considerable research effort ongoing on UAV applications in forestry, the operational use of 499

UAV data in FMI has remained rare so far.

500 501

In recent years, a vast amount of research has focused on portable devices, e.g., mobile 502

(MLS) and terrestrial laser scanners (TLS). Though mobile scanners may provide accurate 503

information in situations where up-to-date information is urgently needed for a small area 504

such as single stand or estate (e.g., Gollob et al. 2020, Hyyppä et al. 2020), their usability in 505

operational FMIs is rather limited. This is because they do not provide wall-to-wall 506

information, which would require the forestry professional conducting an operational FMI to 507

visit all stands in the same way as was done in the era of field studies. Moreover, TLS or MLS 508

data do not allow for utilizing model-based inference in the same way as ALS does, which 509

would also require the accuracy assessments to be carried out with separate validation 510

studies, as was done in the field study era.

511

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24 512

While portable devices are not viable for FMIs, they can provide a solution for timber sale 513

inventories, where data acquisition costs have restricted the emergence of other remote- 514

sensing applications. The information for a timber sale inventory should be up-to-date, but 515

typically it needs to cover just a very small area. ALS data typically covers considerably larger 516

areas, and ALS-based FMI predictions are up-to-date only during the growing season of the 517

data acquisition year. Different ground-based and mobile-based scanners can also take some 518

tree quality aspects into consideration (e.g., Kretschmer et al. 2013, Pyörälä et al. 2019).

519

Tree quality aspects can also be included in field measurements, field calibrations of existing 520

quality models may be conducted, or harvester information may be utilized (Karjalainen et 521

al. 2019, 2020). In addition, there have been experimental UAV data acquisitions under the 522

canopy, thereby providing critical information to improve tree stem prediction and 523

understory characterization (Hyyppä et al. 2020). The biggest remaining problem, however, 524

is the poor predictability of the quality characteristics: though these characteristics can be 525

measured, they cannot be reliably predicted from ALS data.

526 527

CONCLUDING REMARKS AND RESEARCH NEEDS 528

529

The change from field assessments and visual image interpretation to large-scale automated 530

ALS-based FMIs has already been a huge game changer in many countries. It has also 531

changed the way of thinking from stand-level subjective assessments to large-area objective 532

predictions. The differences between the FMI and the NFI have also diminished. The 533

benefits of an ALS-based management inventory are obvious: accurate stand attribute 534

predictions and improved cost-efficiencies. The wall-to-wall remote-sensing data also 535

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enables real-time stand-level accuracy assessments by means of a model-based sampling 536

theory. Recent changes in the management inventory have fine-tuned the ALS-based 537

approach, but there is a need for further improvements.

538 539

The main drawback of ALS data has been the inability to discriminate among tree species.

540

But now, multi-spectral ALS data used in combination with novel optical images, for 541

example, has brought improvements, so that the dominant tree species can be predicted 542

correctly in most cases. Still, minor tree species and mixed stands are often predicted 543

inaccurately. This is a problem not only for tree species but also for species-specific stand 544

attributes. Predicted size distributions of mixed stands, for example, may include misleading 545

information for forest management. Thus, further technical and methodological 546

developments are still needed for the practical applications to better distinguish among tree 547

species.

548 549

Recent developments in remote-sensing technologies provide more alternatives for 550

operational FMI applications based on remote sensing than just the use of ALS and aerial 551

image data. Now the inventory can be tailored for timber sales by means of mobile Lidar 552

scanners or field measurements, even at the level of one marked stand, so that it also 553

includes tree quality aspects. On a smaller scale, even biodiversity aspects and natural 554

disturbances can be mapped and monitored by means of the newest technologies. Note, 555

however, that the methods used with the newest technologies are different from the ones 556

traditionally used in ALS-based FMIs, and the costs are substantially higher.

557 558

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 559

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26 560

This work was supported by the Finnish Flagship Programme of the Academy of Finland for 561

the Forest-Human-Machine Interplay - Building Resilience, Redefining Value Networks and 562

Enabling Meaningful Experiences (UNITE) -project (decision number 337127), led by Prof. Jyrki 563

Kangas at the School of Forest Sciences, University of Eastern Finland.

564 565

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Viittaukset

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